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384 13. specialized production and exchange<br />

the king <strong>of</strong> the Rugi, who dominated the countryside around the town, to<br />

persuade him to allow them to trade. The market they wished to set up was<br />

probably to satisfy a purely local need: to exchange their own wares with<br />

the foodstuffs produced in the surrounding countryside. On another occasion,<br />

the saint intervened to fill a gap caused by the disruption <strong>of</strong> long-distance<br />

trade: he gave to the poor <strong>of</strong> Lauriacum a dole <strong>of</strong> oil, because<br />

merchants were now bringing so little to the region. 66<br />

In parts <strong>of</strong> the empire, the advent <strong>of</strong> war and the collapse or, at least,<br />

decline <strong>of</strong> a sophisticated economy do seem to have coincided quite<br />

closely. This is the case in fifth-century Britain, in late-sixth-century Greece<br />

and in seventh-century Asia Minor. It is, admittedly, possible that the coincidence<br />

<strong>of</strong> date between documented warfare and archaeologically-attested<br />

disruption was not always, in reality, quite as close as it now seems. In<br />

periods when datable archaeological materials (such as coins and fine tablewares)<br />

were disappearing or becoming very scarce, archaeological processes,<br />

which in fact took decades to occur, may all seem to have happened<br />

at one single moment (when the last datable object was deposited).<br />

However, there is no doubt that war and economic decline came at roughly<br />

the same time in all these three areas. And, conversely, it is equally striking<br />

that the period <strong>of</strong> the east’s most evident economic prosperity (the fifth<br />

and early sixth century) is one <strong>of</strong> exceptional peace for the region (with the<br />

important exception <strong>of</strong> the Balkans).<br />

In other parts <strong>of</strong> the empire, however, war and peace were probably<br />

more contributory than principal factors in their changing economic fortunes.<br />

For instance, in Italy and Africa there was no lack <strong>of</strong> trouble (from<br />

Visigoths, Vandals, Berbers, Ostrogoths, Byzantines, Franks and<br />

Lombards – to name only the principal protagonists); and there is sufficient<br />

documentary evidence to prove that warfare and raiding did harm the<br />

economy. There were also protracted periods <strong>of</strong> peace (for example, in<br />

Italy, forty years under the Ostrogoths). However, the underlying pattern<br />

in both Africa and Italy is more <strong>of</strong> slow and steady decline (in Italy probably<br />

starting well before the main period <strong>of</strong> invasion) than <strong>of</strong> marked<br />

downward and upward steps coinciding closely with known periods <strong>of</strong><br />

insecurity and <strong>of</strong> peace. This is a pattern best explained in terms <strong>of</strong> longerterm<br />

changes. 67<br />

It is, indeed, worth wondering, even in the case <strong>of</strong> those regions whose<br />

economies do seem to have been knocked out by war, why they did not subsequently<br />

recover. Both in late antiquity and in other periods <strong>of</strong> history,<br />

other economies appear to have been more resilient. Greece, for example,<br />

66 Vita S. Severini ed. R. Noll (Berlin 1963), caps. 22 and 28 (English trans. L. Bieler, 79 and 83).<br />

67 Within the basic pattern <strong>of</strong> a downhill slope, there may also be some steps down (possibly attributable<br />

to known periods <strong>of</strong> insecurity, such as the Gothic and Lombard wars in Italy). At present the<br />

available data are insufficiently detailed to reveal them unambiguously.<br />

<strong>Cambridge</strong> <strong>Hi</strong>stories Online © <strong>Cambridge</strong> University Press, 2008

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