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北京大学英语新闻网/Peking University News smoking cessation and preventing diabetes mellitus (DM) are key strategies for preventing stroke and disability in the elderly. Japan have done well in all these aspects, which resulted in significant reduce of stoke mortality. And this experience is applicable to other eastern Asian countries. Finally, Chen Gong analyzed the Aging Condition of the disabled Persons in China. He found from the age pyramid of persons with disabilities that persons with disabilities are mainly the elderly, 1/3 of whom were disabled before 60. Therefore, paying attention to the aging of persons with disabilities, reinforcing prevention, and promoting lifetime health are of great importance. Edited By : Zhang Andi Related Topic : � Beijing Forum 2007 Related News : ■ Beijing Forum 2007: Population Growth and Policy Options in the Developing Worl... Feature ( Wednesday 2007--1-1- 04: 2 ) ■ Beijing Forum 2007: Academic Briefing of the Population Panel ( Ⅰ ) Feature ( Wednesday 2007--1-1- 04: 2 ) ■ Beijing Forum 2007: Special Interview with La Trobe University President Paul Jo... Feature ( Wednesday 2007--1-1- 04: 2 ) ■ University Leadership Function Held in Beijing Forum 2007 Feature ( Wednesday 2007--1-1- 04: 2 ) ■ Beijing Forum 2007: Keynote Speech by Robert Anthony Scalapino Feature ( Wednesday 2007--1-1- 04: 1 ) ■ Beijing Forum 2007: University Mission and Student Cultivation—Special Intervie... Feature ( Wednesday 2007--1-1- 04: 0 ) ■ Beijing Forum 2007: Agreement Signed for Exchange Programs between La Trobe Univ... Feature ( Wednesday 2007--1-1- 04: 0 ) Related Feedback : 422
北京大学英语新闻网/Peking University News Beijing Forum 2007: Population Growth and Policy Options in the Developing World by John Bongaarts By Zhang Andi PKU NEWS 2007--11--04 http://ennews.pku.edu.cn/news.php?s=194190513 The Great Hall of the People, Beijing, Nov. 2, 2007: John Bongaarts, Distinguished Scholar and vice president of the Policy Research Division at the Population Council, addressed a speech of ―Population Growth and Policy Options in the Developing World‖ in the Guizhou Hall this afternoon. He firstly introduced the global and regional population growth trends. He said that projections for the next half century anticipate a highly divergent world, with stagnation or potential decline in the developed world and continued quite rapid growth in the least developed regions. And thus for governments that are concerned about adverse effects (environmental, economic, governmental, health and political) of these trends the optimal design of population policy remains urgent issue. Then he analyzed the reasons for the continuing population growth of the world, especially for developing countries. He believed that five distinct demographic factors contribute to future growth: unwanted childbearing, high desired fertility, declining mortality, population momentum and net migration. And the roles of the different components are expected to vary widely among countries. Therefore it is crucial to identify the contributing factors for future population growth for each studied country and the proper identification method is desperately needed. So he proposed a method, the decomposition exercise, to identify the main factors for population growth for each country. The decomposition exercise will point to specific policy options. Unwanted fertility calls for strengthening of family planning programs, high desired family size can be reduced by investing in human capital and high momentum can be offset by delay in childbearing (which can be encouraged by addressing the needs of adolescents). Thus we can use this method to recommend policy options to address rapid population growth. At last he stressed that the proposed decomposition should be undertaken for countries with survey data on unwanted and wanted fertility and other factors. At the same time the analysis should be supplemented by projection variants of the UN and 423
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