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inostrani kapital kao faktor razvoja zemalja - Ekonomski fakultet u ...

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Table 1: FDI Flows to Emerging Market Economies 1990-2003<br />

Countries Annual Average<br />

1990-1996 1997-2002<br />

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

All Countries 62.0 156.8 114.4 141.7 153.6 164.0 158.0 172.1 151.3 160.9<br />

Africa 2.5 10.9 3.6 7.8 6.4 9.3 7.7 22.3 11.8 10.1<br />

Asia 31.7 56.3 53.4 56.8 59.7 61.2 54.2 47.1 58.7 59.0<br />

Middle East & Turkey 3.5 7.5 4.8 5.5 6.5 5.5 7.9 10.8 8.8 11.5<br />

Western Hemisphere 18.2 58.7 40.3 56.1 60.1 64.1 64.7 66.9 40.4 45.6<br />

Countries in transition 6.1 23.4 12.3 15.5 20.9 23.9 23.4 25.1 31.5 34.7<br />

Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, September 2003; IMF Database<br />

Even though foreign investors have different options, such as exporting,<br />

licensing, joint ventures or FDI, if deciding to expand their activities abroad, many<br />

of them may choose FDI due to the OLI (OWNERSHIP LOCATION<br />

INTERNALIZATION) paradigm (Dunning, 1993). The Ownership advantage<br />

occurs when the transfer of technology and management know-how permits the<br />

company to compete in the local market. The Location advantages occur when a<br />

country can provide location-specific resources, such as good infrastructure or lowcost<br />

inputs. Finally, the Internalization advantage is realized, if it is cheaper to<br />

invest than to export to a particular country.<br />

The inflow countries governments are interested in FDI, foremost, in order of<br />

fostering employment, but also, as a source of financing the state account, as<br />

capital inflows are going to improve their foreign balances.<br />

B. The Determinants and the Impact of FDI<br />

The most important effect of FDI on the growth of a country is to bring much<br />

needed capital and employment, in order to overcome the pervasive investmentsaving<br />

gap of a developing economy, which doesn’t invest much in new business,<br />

obstructing so also employment. Additionally, the inflow of FDI brings to the host<br />

country efficient technology and new management techniques. The main problem<br />

of assessing the impact of FDI on economic growth, is its association with other<br />

growth-driven factors. On the one hand, FDI stimulates economic growth<br />

(Bernstein et al., 1998), while, on the other hand, high growth rate attracts FDI<br />

(Barrel and Pain, 1996). Therefore, FDI and economic growth are mostly<br />

interrelated. For example, Ericsson and Irandoust (2001) examined the causal<br />

relationship between FDI and economic growth for four European countries of<br />

Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. The results are controversial: the<br />

existence of causality was shown for Sweden and Denmark, being bi-directional<br />

for Sweden and unidirectional for Denmark; no causality link was detected for<br />

5

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