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inostrani kapital kao faktor razvoja zemalja - Ekonomski fakultet u ...

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However, larger share of the foreign direct investment was due to the<br />

privatization process, whereas the greenfield investment in most of the countries<br />

has been modest. Most of the foreign capital in the form of acquisition went into<br />

the service sectors, such as trade and financial related activities, or<br />

telecommunications and power generation and distribution. Greenfield investment<br />

has mostly been resource or cost efficiency motivated (lower labor costs).<br />

Certain sectors prove to be more interesting for the foreign investors<br />

compared to others. Empirical evidences show that the impact of sector distribution<br />

of FDI to the host country’s economy could prove to be more important than the<br />

total volume of inflows. Most of FDI in Croatia went to the sector of financial<br />

intermediation, telecommunication and chemical industry; financial intermediation,<br />

telecommunication in Serbia as well as transport; electricity, telecommunication<br />

and manufacture of metal products in Macedonia; financial intermediation and<br />

tourism in Montenegro; telecommunication, transport and service sector in<br />

Albania.<br />

2. The impact of capital inflows on the growth rate<br />

in Western Balkan economies<br />

In order to investigate the impact of foreign investment on the improvement<br />

of the growth rates in the overall Western Balkan region, we examined the<br />

influence of total foreign capital inflows as an aggregate of FDI, portfolio<br />

investment and other investment, as well as the impact of the gross fixed capital<br />

formation on the gross domestic product for the time period 1999-2006 in Albania,<br />

Croatia and Macedonia. 41 The result of the regression analysis is as follows:<br />

g t<br />

= − - 39,322 - 0,078g t -1<br />

− 2,<br />

957TFCI<br />

+ 7,<br />

480GFCF<br />

g t - growth rate in period t<br />

t −1<br />

(5,909) (0,102) (1,065) (0,995)<br />

g - growth rate in period t-1<br />

TFCI- Total foreign capital inflows as % of GDP (FDI , portfolio investment, other<br />

investment)<br />

GFCF - gross fixed capital formation as % of GDP<br />

Source: EUROSTAT<br />

Time period - 1999-2006<br />

Standard error in parenthesis<br />

41 Data for Serbia, Montenegro and Bosnia and Herzegovina are incomplete<br />

65

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