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Handbook of the History of Logic: - Fordham University Faculty

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562 Simo Knuuttila<br />

probabilism and probabiliorism. Thomas Aquinas, Boethius <strong>of</strong> Dacia, and some<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r Parisian masters explained Aristotelian dialectical probabilities by stating<br />

that what is probable in <strong>the</strong> sense that most experts accept it is probably true<br />

because it is not probable that <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> well informed experts would be<br />

mistaken in <strong>the</strong> same way. 224 These and o<strong>the</strong>r similar examples show that, contrary<br />

to what has been sometimes maintained, an intuitive conception <strong>of</strong> objective<br />

frequency probability, different from epistemic probability, was developed in <strong>the</strong><br />

Middle Ages. 225<br />

The question <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relationship between epistemic propositions de dicto and de<br />

re belonged to standard fourteenth-century topics <strong>of</strong> epistemology. It was thought<br />

that knowledge statements de dicto did not imply knowledge statements de re or<br />

vice versa. 226 Buridan says, however, that when a person knows that some A is B,<br />

<strong>the</strong>n <strong>of</strong> something which is A he or she knows that it is B. The reason for denying<br />

this could be that Socrates does not know which A is B. Buridan would agree that<br />

in this sense <strong>the</strong> de re reading does not follow from <strong>the</strong> de dicto reading, but <strong>the</strong>re<br />

is ano<strong>the</strong>r kind <strong>of</strong> de re reading (or which might be called so) which does follow<br />

from <strong>the</strong> de dicto reading. This is a kind <strong>of</strong> intermediate reading between pure<br />

de dicto and de re readings. The idea can be formulated as follows. According to<br />

Buridan, statements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> type<br />

(22) Ks(Ex)(Fx)<br />

imply that <strong>the</strong>re are individuals having property F , although S does not necessarily<br />

know which <strong>the</strong>y are. In principle <strong>the</strong>y are identifiable, however, and if we suppose<br />

that one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m is z, we can write:<br />

(23) Ks(Ex)(Fx) → (Ex)((x = z) &Ks(Fx)).<br />

From <strong>the</strong> de dicto statement ‘Socrates, who is sitting in a cellar, knows that a star<br />

is above’ it does not follow <strong>the</strong> de re reading understood as ‘There is a star which<br />

Socrates knows as <strong>the</strong> star which is above’, but <strong>the</strong> following de re reading does<br />

follow from it: ‘There is a star <strong>of</strong> which Socrates knows that it is above, although<br />

Socrates does not know which star it is.’ 227<br />

Buridan was not <strong>the</strong> first to employ this reading. In his De obligationibus,<br />

Walter Burley discussed <strong>the</strong> following case:<br />

224 See Thomas Aquinas, Summa <strong>the</strong>ologiae II-1.105.2, ad 8; II-2.70.2; Boethius <strong>of</strong> Dacia, Quaestiones<br />

super librum Topicorum, ed. N. G. Green-Pedersen and J. Pinborg, Corpus Philosophorum<br />

Danicorum Medii Aevi VI.1 (Copenhagen: Gad, 1976), III.14, 187.<br />

225 For this notion <strong>of</strong> probability and its role in later medieval thought, see I. Kantola, Probability<br />

and Moral Uncertainty in Late Medieval and Early Modern Times (Helsinki: Lu<strong>the</strong>r-Agricola<br />

Society, 1994); for later discussions , see S.K. Knebel, Wille, Würfel und Wahrscheinlichkeit. Das<br />

System der moralischen Notwendigkeit in der Jesuitenscholastik 1550-1700 (Hamburg: Meiner,<br />

2000).<br />

226 See, for example, <strong>the</strong> extensive discussion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> question in <strong>the</strong> second chapter <strong>of</strong> William <strong>of</strong><br />

Heytesbury’s Rules for Solving Sophismata (Venice 1494), translated in Kretzmann and Stump<br />

1988, 436-72.<br />

227 Sophismata, ed. T.K. Scott (Stuttgart-Bad Canstatt: Frommann-Holzboog, 1977) IV,14,<br />

trans. by G. Klima in Summulae de dialectica, 900-902.

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