05.03.2014 Views

Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

238 An Overview of <strong>Scenarios</strong><br />

Pepper, WJ , Barbour, W, Sankovski, A , and Braaz, В , 1998 No-policy<br />

greenhouse gas emission scenarios revisiting <strong>IPCC</strong> 1992 Environmental<br />

Science & Policy. I, 289-312<br />

Peterson, J L , 1994 The Road lo 2015 Profiles of the Future Waite Group<br />

Press. Publishers Group West, Mill Valley, CA<br />

Pohl, F, 1994 A Visit to Behndia In The World of 2044 Technological<br />

Development and the Future of Society С Sheffield, M Alonso, M A<br />

Kaplan (eds ), Paragon House, St Paul, MN, pp 189-197<br />

Raskin, P, G Gallopin, P Gutman, A Hammond, and R Swart, 1998<br />

Bending the Curve Toward Global Sustainability A report of the Global<br />

Scenario Group, PoleStar Senes Report 8, Stockholm Environment<br />

Institute, Stockholm, 90 + A-38 pp<br />

Riahi, К , and R A Roelu'l, 2000 Greenhouse gas emissions in a dynamicsas<br />

usual scenario of economic and eneigy development Technological<br />

Foiecasting & Social Change, 63(2-3) (In press)<br />

Roehrl, R A , and К Riahi, 2000 Technology dynamics and greenhouse gas<br />

emissions mitigation - a cost assessment Technological Foiecasting &<br />

Soc lal Change, 63(2-3) (In press)<br />

Rogner, H -H, 1997 An assessment ot w hydrocarbon resources Annual<br />

Review of Energy and the Environment, 22, 217-262<br />

Rotmans, J, and HJM de Vues (eds), 1997 Peispectives on Global<br />

Futures the TARGETS approach Cambndge University Piess,<br />

Cambridge<br />

Sankovski, A , W Barbour, and W Pepper. 2000 Quantification of the IS99<br />

emission scenai lo stoiyhnes using the atmospheric stabilization framework<br />

(ASF) Technological Foiecasting & Social Change, 63(2-3) (In press)<br />

Schipper, L , and S Meyers, 1992 Energy Efficiency and H u m a n Activity<br />

Past Tiends, Futuie Prospeits Cambridge Universrty Press, Cambndge<br />

Schwartz, P, 1991 The Art of the Longview Thiee global scenarios to 2005<br />

Doubleday Publications, New York, NY<br />

Schwartz. P, 1996 The New World Disoider WIRED Special Edition I 10<br />

(See also Global Business Network (http //www gbn org/scenarios)<br />

Shell, 1993 Global <strong>Scenarios</strong> 1992-2020 PL-93-S-04, Group Planning, Shell<br />

Intemational, London<br />

Shin, J S , 1996 The Economics of the Latecomeis Routledge Studies m the<br />

Growth Economics of Asia, Routledge, London<br />

Shinn, R L , 1985 Forced Options Social Decisions foi the 21" century, 2^"^<br />

edition The Pilgrim Press, New York, NY<br />

S0rensen, В , and P Meibom, 1998 GIS Tools for Renewable Energy<br />

Modelling Paper presented at the World Renewable Eneigy Congress V,<br />

Florence, 19-25 Septembei 1998, Italy Pubhshed in Renewable Energy,<br />

16(1 4) (1999), 1262-1267<br />

S0rensen, В , R Kummel, and P Meibom, 1999 Long-teim Scenaiios foi<br />

Global Eneigy Demand and Supply Four Global Greenhouse Mitigation<br />

Scenai los IMFUFA 359, Roskilde University, Denmark<br />

Strubegger, M, and 1 Reitgruber, 1995 Statistical Analysis of Investment<br />

Costs foi Power Geiieiation Technologies WP-95-109, International<br />

Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenbuig, Austria, 21 pp<br />

Sullivan, WT Ш, 1989 A 10 km resolution image of the entne night-time<br />

earth based on cloud-free satellite photographs m the 400-1100 цт band<br />

international Journal of Remote Sensing, 10, 1-5<br />

Sutton, P, D Roberts, С Elvidge, and H Meij, 1997 A companson of<br />

nighttime satellite imagery and population density for the continental<br />

United States Photogiainmetric Engineeiing and Remote Sensing 63,<br />

1303-1313<br />

Tobler, WR , 1969 Satellite confirmation of settlement size coefficients Area,<br />

1, 30-34<br />

UN (United Nations), 1990 Global Outlook 2000 an Economic, Social and<br />

Environmental Perspective United Nations Publications, New York, NY<br />

UN (United Nations), 1993a Human Development Repon 1993, United<br />

Nations, New York, NY<br />

UN (United Nations), 1993b U N M E D S Macroeconomic Data System, MSPA<br />

Data Bank of Woi Id Development Statistics MEDS/DTA/1 MSPA-BK 93,<br />

Long-Teim Socio-Economic Perspectives Branch, Depaitment of<br />

Economic and Social Information & Policy Analysis, United Nations, New<br />

York, NY<br />

UN (United Nations), 1994 Report on the International Conference on<br />

Population and Development Cauo, 5-13 September 1994, New Yoik, NY<br />

UN (United Nations), 1995 Repoit on the World Summit foi Social<br />

Development Copenhagen, 6-12 Match 1995, New York, NY<br />

UN (United Nations), 1998 World Population Piojections to 2150 United<br />

Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division,<br />

New York, NY<br />

UNCED (United Nations Conference of Environment and Development),<br />

1992 Repon of the United Nations Confeience of Environment and<br />

Development, New York, NY<br />

UNDP (United Nations Development Programme), 1993 H u m a n<br />

Development Report 1993 Oxford University Piess, New Yoik, NY<br />

UNDP (United Nations Development Piogramme), 1997 H u m a n<br />

Development Report 1997 Oxford University Press, New York, NY<br />

UNESCO, 1998 Woild Cultuie Repon Cultuie Cieativm and Markets<br />

UNESCO Publishing, Pans<br />

UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change), 1992<br />

United Nations Framewoik Convention on Climate Change Convention<br />

text, UNEP/WMO Information Unit of Climate Change (ШСС) on behalf<br />

ot the Intel im Secretariat of the Convention lUCC, Geneva<br />

UNFPA (United Nations Population Fund), 1999 6 Billion A Time foi<br />

Choices The State of Woild Population 1999 UNFPA, New York<br />

(http //www unfpa org/swp/1999/pdf/swp99 pdf)<br />

Watson, R, M С Zinyowera, and R Moss (eds ), 1996 Climate Change<br />

1995 Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change Scientific<br />

Analyses Contribution of Working Group 11 to the Second Assessment<br />

Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge<br />

University Press, Cambndge, 861 pp<br />

WBCSD (World Business Council tor Sustainable Development), 1998<br />

Exploring Sustainable Development, WBCSD, Geneva<br />

WEC (World Energy Conned), 1993 Energy foi Tomoiiow's Woild The<br />

Realities, the Real Options and the Agenda for Achievements Kogan Page,<br />

London<br />

Welch, R , 1980 Monitoring urban population and energy utilization patterns<br />

from satellite data Remote Sensing of Envuonment, 9, 1-9<br />

Wene, C-O , 1996 Energy-economy analysis linking the macroeconomic and<br />

systems engineering approaches Eneigy, 21(9), 809-824<br />

Weyant, J , 1995 Second Round Study Design foi E M F 14 Integiated<br />

Assessment of Climate Change Energy Modeling Forum, Terman<br />

Engineering Center, Stanford University, Stanford, CA (mimeo, deposited<br />

withTSU)<br />

Wilkerson, L , 1995 How to build scenarios WIRED (Special Edition The<br />

Future of the Future, October 13 1995), Conde Nasi Publications. San<br />

Francisco, CA (http //wiied lycos com/wired/scenarios/build htm)<br />

World Bank, 1998 Global Economic Piospects and the Developing<br />

Countries Beyond Financial Crisis World Bank, Washmgton, DC<br />

World Bank, 1999 Woi Id Development Indicatoi s World Bank, Washington,<br />

DC

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!