Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

490
Statistical
Table
Scenario A2-MiniCAM 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
ALM
Population
Million
1236 1566 1953 2399 2884 3372
3862 4311 4712 5065 5306 5552
GNP/GDP (тех)
GNP/GDP (ppp) TriUion (1990 prices)
TriUion US$
1.9 2.8 4.3 6.2 9.9 14.7
na na na na na na
20.7 29.5 39.5 50.9 64.3 79.3
na na na na na na
Final Energy
Non-commercial
SoUds
Liquids
Gas
Electi'icity
Others
Total
EJ
0 0 0 0 0 0
2 3 5 7 11 15
17 22 27 33 37 48
5 7 10 13 17 19
3 6 10 16 28 45
0 0 0 0 0 0
27 38 52 68 93 126
0 0 0 0 0 0
19 20 22 23 24 25
65 83 104 128 151 174
18 19 20 23 21 20
65 94 128 166 210 254
0 0 0 0 0 0
167 216 274 340 406 472
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
4 6 9 13 26 44
20 23 28 33 35 38
7 10 15 22 34 42
0 2 4 6 12 19
0 1 1 2 4 8
67 69 77 91 101 112
44 43 48 57 54 51
46 53 ' 62 72 70 68
27 33 41 50 62 74
12 22 30 36 44 53
Other Renewables
Total
5 6 8 11 15 20
35 48 66 89 126 171
26 40 56 74 98 123
223 261 313 380 430 480
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9
0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1
1.4 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.6 5.6
1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.9 4.4
1.5 2.0 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.7
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.4 17.8 36.6 58.3 84.8 116.4
154.5 198.6 248.1 303.5 365.0 432.5
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
391 368 365 384 403 414
1510 1596 1710 1853 1989 2097
0 0 0 0 0 10
3641 3585 3478 3318 3161 3028
19.57 1878 1800 1723 1688 1647
7499 7427 7353 7279 7241 7196
418 405 394 384 379 375
2179 2149 2132 2128 2156 2184
28 65 90 104 129 153
2920 2930 2936 2939 2890 2841
1599 1532 1486 1461 1473 1484
7145 7081 7038 7016 7027 7037
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
0.72 1.01 1.24 1.54 2.08 2.77
0.73 0.82 0.70 0.87 0.80 0.69
1.45 1.83 1.94 2.41 2.88 3.46
77 85 89 96 108 116
1.2 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.7
10.5 12.8 14.7 15.4 18.1 21.7
0 2 19 32 49 69
4 4 8 12 16 21
3 5 7 10 13 18
3.61 4.18 4.91 5.81 6.42 7.07
0.54 0.49 0.32 0.04 0.02 0.00
4.15 4.67 5.24 5.84 6.44 7.07
120 114 115 121 123 125
3.1 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.6
26.1 28.1 27.8 25.2 21.9 18.5
98 139 !8i 233 295 336
26 34 39 45 50 52
23 29 32 37 41 43