Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Open Process 363
Table VI-4b: Standardized GHG emissions for the preliminary A2 marker (ASF) as posted on the CIESIN web page
(sres.ciesin.org) during the open process. These data are not necessarily identical with the final marker scenario.
Preliminary A2 Marker Scenario - WORLD (Open process version, date of submission: 12I14II98)
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million
5263
8191
11296
15068
GNP/GDP in Trillion US$90*
20.9
40.5
81.6
242.8
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Other (e.g. HO
Total
55.6
123.1
51.1
43.0
272.8
64.7
245.9
92.4
85.4
.4
54.9
333.5
186.7
203.6
778.7
66.5
635.0
261.8
46^.0
1431.3
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Other Renewables
Total
96.6
140.8
74.0
8.3
0.0
9.6
329.3
129.3
291.0
125.8
16.8
12.2
19.9
594.9
293.8
227.7
274.9
61.8
71.5
41.6
971.4
903.7
0.5
331.2
234.2
161.6
86.0
1717.1
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
0
0
0
3.2
6.2
2.7
9.2
13.8
8.4
38.6
16.1
24.2
Cumulative COj Emissions in GtC
291
738
1862
Land Use in Million ha
Forests
Grasslands
Cropland
Energy Biomass
Other
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)
COj (as C) in MtC 6137 10498 15731 27823
Other CO2 (as C) in MtC 1584 2010 1802 1128
Total CO, (as C) in MtC 7721 12508 17533 28950
CH4 totar(as CH^) in Mt CH^ 307 437 611 902
N^O total (as N) in Mt N2O-N 7 10 13 17
SO^ total (as S) in MtS 77 102 106 57
CO (as CO) in Mt CO 428 565 716 1101
VOCs in Mt 118 166 212 330
NO^ (as N) in MtN 35 56 77 115
Total CO2 - Sinks, in MtC 7719 12438 17361 28745
* at market exchange rate