Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

460 Statistical Table
Scenario Alvl-MiniCAM
ALM
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Popuiation
Miüion
1236 1541 ¡876 2241 2531 2778 2980 3068 3096 3064 2913 2766
GNP/GDP (mex)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Trillion US$
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
15.4
na
27.2
na
42.5
na
67.0
na
94.1
na
123.7 155.2
na
na
190.4
na
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Soiids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 3 4 6 9 12 15 13 11 11 10 10
17 21 26 33 40 56 78 99 118 136 146 156
5 6 9 13 21 26 29 38 46 54 55 56
3 6 9 15 29 47 70 96 120 143 159 176
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
27 35 49 67 99 141 192 245 296 344 371 399
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
4 5 8 11 22 34 48 50 52 53 52 52
20 22 27 34 41 57 82 105 127 146 156 166
7 9 14 23 40 55 70 95 116 133 134 136
0 2 4 5 12 19 27 29 34 40 45 50
0 1 1 2 4 6 9 12 15 15 15 15
Other Renewables
Total
5 6 8 11 15 19 24 33 40 47 53 60
35 45 62 86 133 190 258 324 383 434 456 478
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.7
0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.3 3.3 4.5 5.8 7.4 8.9
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.7 3.8 5.0 6.3 7.7
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.4 17.8 36.7 58.8 86.9 121.3 162.6 210.9 265.7 325.7 387.2 447.1
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Miiiion ha
391 363 347 344 334 320 303 272 240 207 180 152
1510 1594 1727 1906 2102 2257 2373 2296 2170 1996 1880 1763
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0
3641 3591 3480 3308 3121 2975 2868 2970 3128 3341 3487 3633
1957 1884 1800 1707 1674 1661 1668 1664 1673 1695 1766 1837
7499 7432 7354 7266 7231 7213 7212 7204 7213 7240 7313 7385
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
0.72 1.01 1.22 1.54 2.20 3.02 4.00 4.88 5.66 6.32 6.65 7.00
0.73 0.82 0.72 0.95 0.91 0.76 0.48 0.31 0.12 -0.09 -0.58 -1.08
1.45 1.83 1.94 2.49 3.11 3.77 4.48 .5.19 5.77 6.23 6.07 5.92
77 85 89 99 118 130 134 144 150 154 157 160
1.2 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.3 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.2
10.5 12.8 13.7 14.8 15.3 16.1 17,0 12.4 9.6 8.4 8.3 8.1
0 2 15 39 81 139 184 205 210 210 206 196
4 4 5 9 14 19 23 26 28 30 31 30
3 5 10 14 19 32 40 42 37 23 24 26