Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

390 Statistical Table
Scenario AlB-ASF
ALM
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 1218 1519 1869 2218 2500 2851 2980 3023 3044 3013 2795 2727
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 2.6 4.3 7.4 13.3 22.3 42.5 52,8 71.8 83.8 126.6 171.2 189.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids 1 2 3 5 8 11 14 15 15 15 15 14
Liquids 23 40 63 106 134 161 189 191 193 192 186 180
Gas 5 9 18 37 56 76 95 95 94 87 71 55
Electricity 5 8 14 24 46 68 90 130 170 202 225 249
Others
Total 34 58 98 172 244 316 388 430 473 495 497 499
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 5 9 15 26 77 128 179 198 217 230 238 246
Oil 26 45 72 118 101 85 68 42 15 2 1 1
Gas 9 14 25 48 78 107 136 132 ' 128 106 65 24
Nuclear 0 0 1 2 11 19 28 38 48 61 75 90
Biomass 0 0 1 8 24 40 56 68 81 91 100 110
Other Renewables 5 5 7 8 13 17 22 49 77 96 108 120
Total 44 74 121 211 304 396 489 528 566 586 588 590
Cumulative Resources Use ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1,9 3,5 5.4 7.5 9.7 12.1 14.5
Oil 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 3.9 4,7 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2,2 3,5 4.8 6.1 7.3 8.1 8.5
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.4 17.8 40.1 73.3 120.4 181.1 254,7 333.0 407.9 478.7 543.9 602.8
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 0.72 1.01 1.86 3.15 4.63 5,99 7.36 7.21 7.07 6.68 6.06 5.44
Other C02 GtC 0.73 0.82 0.78 0.85 0.80 0.72 0.65 0.45 0.25 0.15 0.14 0.14
Total C02 GtC 1.45 1.83 2.63 4.00 5.42 6,71 8.00 7.66 7.32 6.83 6.21 5.58
CH4 total MtCH4 77 85 109 135 155 168 182 173 164 155 145 135
N20 total MtN20-N 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.9 2,3 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2,7
SOx total MtS 10.5 12.8 16.1 27.1 31.5 29,0 26.4 24.9 23.3 22.5 22.4 22.3
HFC MtC eq. 0 2 15 39 81 139 184 205 210 210 206 196
PFC MtC eq. 4 4 5 9 14 19 23 26 28 30 31 30
SF6 MtC eq. 3 5 10 14 19 32 40 42 37 23 24 26
CO MtCO 396 404 483 572 738 815 892 898 904 900 886 872
NMVOC Mt 48 55 64 82 107 129 151 183 216 249 283 317
NOx MtN 7 8 12 19 27 31 36 36 35 35 34 33