Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical
Table
429
Scenario AIG-AIM 199O 2OOO 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
ASIA
Population
Million
2798 3261 3556 3851 4147 4183
4220 4016 3822 3541 3194 2882
GNP/GDP (тех)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Trillion US$
1.5 2.7 5.8 12.3 26.3 40.8
63.4 86.3 117.5 149.4 177.4 210.6
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
28 23 19 15 4 0
15 19 32 45 59 63
11 15 30 49 77 100
2 4 9 16 27 42
5 7 15 27 46 76
0 0
61 68 105 153 213 283
0 0 0 0 0 0
66 60 54 48 42 35
124 155 187 210 224 238
56 75 94 108 119 129
106 143 180 208 227 246
0 0
352 433 514 574 611 648
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
30 38 68 99 128 117
17 24 45 74 114 144
4 8 18 35 61 97
0 1 2 5 13 23
28 24 19 14 7 11
107 100 94 86 78 70
182 199 217 233 245 257
156 196 247 289 313 340
43 54 66 78 86 95
17 29 48 64 66 68
Other Renewables
Total
1 2 2 3 5 10
80 96 154 230 327 403
20 34 56 78 90 103
525 611 729 827 877 933
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.9 3.9
0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.3
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.7
5.2 6.1 7.1 8.1 8.9 9.7
5.1 6.7 8.8 11.2 13.4 16.2
3.1 4.7 7.0 9.7 12.6 16.2
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.5 19.3 46.7 89.0 147.1 218.4
300.9 394.0 496.5 607.6 724.2 844.6
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
390 407 433 457 459 429
521 524 547 593 643 647
0 0 0 2 21 41
527 490 452 417 410 423
576 593 583 545 482 463
2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014
401 363 327 302 284 268
650 631 613 601 597 592
81 116 166 198 200 201
436 451 467 478 485 492
445 438 431 434 448 462
2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014
Antluopogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
M1N20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MlC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
1.15 1.78 3.04 4.56 6.45 7.53
0.37 0.26 0.40 0.45 0.17 0.11
1.53 2.03 3.44 5.02 6.62 7.64
113 125 156 200 248 246
2.3 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.0
17.7 25.3 42.2 54.5 45.9 20.0
0 5 18 45 92 153
3 5 8 15 23 30
4 7 12 19 28 42
235 270 487 676 836 977
33 37 55 79 96 100
7 9 13 17 20 20
8.79 9.69 10.69 11.39 11.74 12.09
0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.11 0.14
8.86 9.76 10.75 11.47 11.85 12.23
244 202 166 144 130 118
3.0 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4
8.5 8.0 7.5 7.1 6.7 6.3
224 292 292 285 275 262
35 39 43 46 48 46
50 55 48 35 33 37
1139 1251 1373 1502 1637 1783
105 111 117 109 89 71
19 18 17 15 14 13