Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table 549
Scenario B2-ASF
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2776 3248 3617 3986 4270 4584 4696 4769 4806 4899 4951 4968
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.5 2.5 4.1 6.6 9.7 16.5 19.7 26.3 30.4 46.2 67.6 76.7
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
Non-commercial
EJ
Solids 22 31 41 46 38 29 21 20 19 19 18 17
Liquids 14 26 43 72 83 95 106 115 124 138 156 174
Gas 2 5 10 22 32 42 51 55 60 61 59 57
Electricity 6 10 16 24 43 62 81 86 92 97 103 108
Others
Total 43 72 110 163 195 227 259 277 295 314 335 356
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 33 49 65 77 101 126 151 184 218 245 265 286
Oil 17 34 55 88 79 71 63 38 14 1 1 0
Gas 4 7 15 29 50 71 92 96 100 97 89 80
Nuclear 0 1 1 2 4 6 9 9 10 11 11 И
Biomass 0 0 1 3 7 12 17 18 20 22 24 26
Other Renewables 1 2 4 6 11 15 19 22 24 29 35 42
Total 55 92 140 205 253 302 351 368 386 404 425 445
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.8 5.2 6.9 8.9 11.2 13.8 16.5
Oil 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.2 4.1 5.1 6.1 6.9
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.3 19.3 44.9 81.9 130.7 188.3 252.6 322.3 395.8 473.1 554.2 639.1
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.73 3.94 5.08 5.84 6.59 7.03 7.47 7.89 8.27 8.66
Other C02 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.35 0.40 0.34 0.26 0.18 0.13 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.01
Total C02 GtC 1.53 2.03 3.07 4.34 5.42 6.10 6.77 7.16 7.54 7.92 8.30 8.67
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 144 159 176 191 206 212 217 220 221 221
N20 total MtN20-N 2.3 2.6 3.2 4.0 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 39.6 56.4 59.3 52.1 45.0 31.7 18.4 11.0 9.3 7.7
HFC MtC eq. 0 5 21 40 66 95 130 164 199 233 267 302
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 14 22 30 38 46 51 54 54 53 51
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 12 18 25 32 36 36 33 27 29 30
CO MtCO 235 270 326 369 438 470 502 533 563 611 672 734
NMVOC Mt 33 37 41 46 50 52 54 57 60 64 70 76
NOx MtN 7 9 13 18 22 24 27 27 28 29 30 32