Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

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Statistical
Table
Scenario AIT-AIM
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Popuiation Million 2798 3261 3556 3851 4147 4183 4220 4016 3822 3541 3194 2882
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.5 2.7 5.7 12.2 26.2 40.6 62.9 85.5 116.4 147.7 174.9 207.0
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 28 24 17 11 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 15 20 29 39 53 52 51 39 31 24 20 16
Liquids 11 16 23 29 41 49 59 67 77 83 83 83
Gas 2 4 8 16 29 36 45 53 63 73 82 91
Electricity 5 7 13 22 40 67 111 148 197 236 254 272
Others
Total 61 70 91 118 166 210 265 315 373 417 439 462
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 30 38 58 79 108 92 79 62 48 38 31 25
Oil 17 24 35 40 44 37 32 28 25 22 20 18
Gas 4 9 18 33 58 76 99 111 - 125 138 151 165
Nuclear 0 1 3 5 13 25 47 47 46 46 45 45
Biomass 28 24 19 17 17 26 41 49 59 66 69 73
Other Renewables 1 2 2 4 9 23 58 98 166 227 251 278
Total 80 97 135 178 250 281 357 395 469 337 568 604
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.3 4.3 4.9 5.5 6.0 6.3 6.7
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.3
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.4 4.6 6.0 7.4 9.1
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 44.4 78.4 121.3 167.9 212.4 255.0 295.8 334.9 372.5 409.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 390 408 432 448 432 401 372 349 328 307 286 267
Grasslands 521 523 546 584 620 618 615 611 606 599 589 580
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 21 88 123 172 189 209 224 233 242
Forest 527 490 453 420 406 419 432 437 442 448 456 464
Others 576 593 582 540 469 446 423 426 428 435 448 462
Total 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.59 3.36 4.51 4.40 4.29 4.06 3.85 3.69 3.57 3.45
Other C02 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.39 0.44 0.27 0.14 0.07 0.10 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.13
Total C02 GtC i.53 2.03 2.98 3.81 4.78 4.54 4.36 4.16 3.99 3.83 3.70 3.58
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 156 196 238 235 233 197 167 146 131 118
N20 total MtN20-N 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 42.2 54.5 45.9 20.0 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.1 6.7 6.3
HFC MtC eq. 0 5 18 45 92 153 224 292 292 285 275 262
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 8 15 23 30 35 39 43 46 48 46
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 12 19 28 42 50 55 48 35 33 37
CO MtCO 235 270 342 397 421 444 468 484 500 512 522 532
NMVOC Ml 33 37 48 61 73 73 73 74 76 68 55 43
NOx MtN 7 9 13 17 20 20 19 18 17 15 14 13