Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

550 Statistical Table
Scenario B2-ASF
ALM
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population
Million
1216 1511 1890 2269 2603 3100 3289 3502 3615 3908 4080 4139
GNP/GDP (тех)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Trillion US$
2.4 3.6 5.4 8.2 11.8 19.2 22.6 29.7 34.0 50.5 72.1 81.2
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
1 1 2 3 5 7 9 10 11 13 14 15
21 33 47 72 83 94 106 112 117 127 139 152
5 8 14 25 33 41 49 54 59 62 63 65
4 6 10 16 22 28 35 41 48 55 64 73
31 49 74 115 143 171 198 217 235 257 281 305
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
4 7 10 15 26 37 48 73 99 123 145 167
25 38 56 85 83 81 79 54 30 14 8 1
8 12 19 32 45 58 71 77 82. 84 84 84
0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
0 0 2 3 13 23 34 46 58 69 79 88
Other Renewables
Total
I 2 4 5 7 9 12 14 16 20 26 31
39 60 91 141 176 210 245 267 288 314 345 375
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.7 3.8 5.2 6.7
0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.4
0.0 o.l 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2,1 2.8 3.6 4.5 5.3 6.1
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.4 17.8 38.5 66.1 101.3 140.4 181.6 224.2 267.8 313.2 362.2 415.5
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
Antliropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 0.72
Other C02 GtC 0.73
Total C02 GtC 1.45
CH4 total MtCH4 77
N20 total MtN20-N 1.2
SOx total MtS 10.5
HFC MtC eq. 0
PFC MtC eq. 4
SF6 MtC eq. 3
CO MtCO 396
NMVOC Mt 48
NOx MtN 7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
1.52
0.78
2.30
105
1.6
15.6
12
7
5
451
61
10
2.38
0.85
3.22
128
1.9
22.5
20
10
7
499
71
14
3.00
0.82
3.82
143
2.2
27.5
32
14
9
590
81
18
3.28
0.74
4.02
151
2.5
26.3
54
20
20
624
88
20
3.55
0.66
4.21
160
2.7
25.2
84
27
16
658
95
22
3.84
0.47
4.31
166
2.9
21.4
120
33
17
674
104
23
4.13
0.28
4.41
173
3.0
17.5
157
37
15
689
114
24
4.50
0.18
4.68
179
3.1
15.2
190
39
11
717
127
25
4.93
0.19
5.12
185
3.2
14.4
211
39
13
757
143
27
5.36
0.19
5.55
191
3.3
13.5
223
37
14
797
160
29