Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

3S2
Statistical Table
Marker Scenario AlB-AIM
OECD90
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 859 919 960 1002 1043 1062 1081 1086 1091 1097 1103 1110
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 16.4 20.5 25.3 31.0 38.0 45.4 54.1 64.1 75.9 89.2 103.9 121.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 10 9 9 9 8 7 6 5 3 3 2 1
Liquids 64 74 77 82 80 77 75 74 73 71 69 67
Gas 25 30 40 50 63 66 68 72 76 78 78 78
Electricity 22 27 33 40 48 58 70 87 108 129 151 175
Others
Total 127 142 158 180 199 209 218 239 261 282 301 321
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 41 41 41 35 30 29 28 22 17 12 9 7
Oil 76 90 92 89 78 65 54 46 39 34 32 30
Gas 34 47 58 70 83 89 95 99 . 102 102 99 96
Nuclear 5 6 10 16 23 24 24 23 23 20 18 15
Biomass 6 1 0 4 9 17 29 37 48 54 56 57
Other Renewables 6 6 8 11 16 24 35 55 86 120 152 192
Total 167 191 209 226 239 253 267 293 321 348 372 397
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9
Oil 0.1 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.2 4.9 5.3 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.8
Gas 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.1 4.2 5.0 6.0 7.1 8.0 9.1
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 2.8 33.0 66.2 101.2 136.4 171.0 204.8 236.9 266.4 294.0 319.7 343.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
381 380 377 376 375 372 368 364 359 356 356 355
760 763 771 774 776 787 797 818 839
849 847 846
0 0 0 11 24 39 63 73 85 88 81 75
1050 1053 1052 1053 1056 1062 1068 1061 1054 1050 1049
1048
838 833 828 814 798 765 733 711 690 685 695 705
3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 2.83 3.20
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00
Total C02 GtC 2.83 3.20
CH4 total MtCH4 73 74
N20 total MtN20-N 2.6 2.6
SOx total MtS 22.7 17.0
HFC MtC eq. 19 58
PFC MtC eq. 18 13
SF6 MtC eq. 23 23
CO MtCO 179 161
NMVOC Mt 42 36
NOx MtN 13 12
3.41
0.05
3.45
71
2.5
9.9
110
13
14
190
39
12
3.51
0.03
3.54
69
2.6
6.9
108
И
5
205
39
12
3.48
0.02
3.50
66
2.5
6.4
115
9
6
227
38
9
3.42
0.00
3.42
58
2.5
6.3
118
8
7
234
33
7
3.36
-0.01
3.35
52
2.4
6.3
122
9
9
241
28
6
3.06
0.01
3.06
49
2.4
6.0
123
10
11
242
24
2.78
0.06
2.84
47
2.3
5,7
123
12
13
243
19
6
2.56
O.II
2.67
46
2.3
5.3
124
13
16
247
17
5
2.40
0.09
2.48
44
2.2
5.0
125
14
18
254
16
5
2.24
0.07
2.31
42
2.2
4.6
125
16
20
262
15
5