Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

388 Statistical Table
Scenario AlB-ASF
REF
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 417 419 425 431 432 425 423 406 398 374 347 339
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.0 1.0 1.4 2.2 3.6 5.9 7.0 9.1 10.3 14.8 20.1 22.2
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids 18 12 12 12 10 9 8 6 5 3 3 2
Liquids 16 12 13 15 16 16 17 16 15 15 15 15
Gas 16 13 18 24 26 29 31 28 26 22 17 12
Electricity 8 8 10 14 17 21 24 27 30 32 32 32
Others
Total 58 44 53 65 70 74 79 77 76 72 67 61
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 23 13 15 18 18 19 19 17 14 13 12 12
Oil 18 13 15 17 18 19 19 12 5 1 0 0
Gas 27 22 29 38 38 39 39 34 30 23 15 6
Nuclear 1 1 2 2 5 7 9 10 11 11 12 13
Biomass 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 14 18 21 23
Other Renewables 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 13 16 18 18 18
Total 74 56 66 82 87 92 97 93 89 84 78 73
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
Gas 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.2
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.3 12.3 22.3 34.1 47.2 60.1 72.2 83.0 92.0 99.5 105.4 110.0
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 1.07 1.29 1.34 1.25 1.16 0.99 0.82 0.67 0.53 0.39
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 1.07 1.29 1.34 1.25 1.16 0.99 0.82 0.67 0.53 0.39
CH4 total MtCH4 47 39 45 59 81 102 124 121 118 108 91 73
N20 total MtN20-N 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
SOx total MtS 17.0 11.0 10.5 10.1 8.8 6.9 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.2 1.7 1.1
HFC MtC eq. 0 4 8 19 29 31 32 33 33 34 33 31
PFC MtC eq. 7 4 5 8 14 20 21 22 23 24 25 24
SF6 MtC eq. 8 6 8 10 14 18 21 19 15 14 10 11
CO MtCO 69 41 42 41 47 48 49 48 47 47 48 49
NMVOC Mt 16 13 17 25 29 28 28 28 28 31 35 40
NOx MtN 5 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 2