Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

404 Statistical Table
Scenario AlB-MESSAGE
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population MilUon 2798 3261 3620 3937 4147 4238 4220 4085 3867 3589 3258 2882
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.5 2.7 5.8 12.3 26.2 44.5 62.7 91.9 121.0 150.0 178.6 207.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) 5.3 8.2 13.5 21.6 35.2 51.8 67.5 93.3 121.0 150.0 178.6 207.3
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 24 17 13 8 4 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 19 36 41 51 59 54 33 26 27 24 22 14
Liquids 13 20 27 47 69 95 122 140 143 134 114 106
Gas 2 3 7 10 14 22 39 64 73 75 62 37
Electricity 4 7 12 24 42 67 97 136 186 231 271 318
Others 1 2 4 10 16 25 37 54 77 107 144 182
Total 62 85 105 150 204 266 330 420 505 570 613 655
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 30 48 57 79 99 120 114 104 120 126 105 87
Oil 15 24 28 40 57 71 80 93 77 56 43 41
Gas 3 5 12 22 37 54 81 109 • 116 112 96 74
Nuclear 0 1 1 4 8 15 26 44 71 102 138 173
Biomass 24 22 27 35 48 64 82 106 133 156 158 163
Other Renewables 1 3 6 14 23 42 75 122 179 239 308 391
Total 74 102 131 193 272 366 459 578 697 791 849 928
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.2 4.4 5.5 6.5 7.7 9.0 10.1
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.2 4.1 4.9 5.4 5.9
Gas 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.2 4.4 5.5 6.5
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19,3 41.7 69.4 106.2 154.8 211.8 273.4 338.5 405.0 466.0 518.3
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use ^
Million ha
Cropland 438 435 434 433 432 431 431 430 429 428 428 428
Grasslands 608 606 609 611 613 615 617 618 619 621 622 624
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 17 37 68 99 117 134 138 127 117
Forest 535 522 512 524 535 535 535 544 552 556 555 555
Others 583 601 609 579 547 515 483 456 429 421 431 441
Total 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standai'dized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.22 3.23 4.39 5.49 5.93 6.38 6.78 6.70 5.63 4.85
Other C02 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.22 -0.13 -0.12 -0.04 0.03 -0.03 -0.09 -0.10 -0.04 0.01
Total C02 GtC 1.53 2.03 2.44 3.10 4.27 5.44 5.96 6.35 6.69 6.61 5.59 4.86
CH4 total