Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

502 Statistical Table
Scenario Bl-ASF
OECD90
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 849 919 961 1003 1035 1069 1081 1085 1088 1096 1106 1110
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 15.5 19.2 23.4 27.7 32.4 40.4 43.5 49.7 53.0 64.7 78.7 84.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids 12 13 12 12 12 11 11 9 8 7 7 6
Liquids 68 86 91 88 77 66 55 48 41 37 37 36
Gas 27 29 31 35 36 37 38 35 33 31 31 31
Electricity 24 27 33 37 40 43 46 54 63 69 74 79
Others
Total 131 155 167 172 165 157 150 147 144 144 148 152
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 33 32 34 39 52 66 79 66 52 44 40 36
Oil 77 97 106 102 75 47 20 12 5 1 1 0
Gas 35 38 42 50 54 59 63 57 '51 47 45 43
Nuclear 6 8 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3
Biomass 0 0 0 4 10 15 21 24 27 30 34 38
Other Renewables 6 7 10 11 13 15 16 27 38 46 50 55
Total 156 181 198 211 208 205 202 189 176 171 173 175
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.4
Oil 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Gas 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.6 5.1 5.5
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 2.8 33.0 66.5 102.6 140.3 177.6 212.9 244.3 269.7 290.4 308.8 326.1
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.51 3.72 3.82 3.63 3.43 2.84 2.24 1.89 1.78 1.68
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total C02 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.51 3.72 3.82 3.63 3.43 2.84 2.24 1.89 1.78 1.68
CH4 total MtCH4 73 74 77 81 86 90 93 90 88 85 81 78
N20 total MtN20-N 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3
SOx total MtS 22.7 17.0 7.6 7.5 7.0 6.3 5.6 5.1 4.6 4.8 5.5 6.3
HFC MtC eq. 19 58 108 103 109 112 116 117 117 119 120 120
PFC MtC eq. 18 13 12 10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
SF6 MtC eq. 24 23 16 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8
CO MtCO 179 161 165 154 135 100 66 54 42 35 34 32
NMVOC Mt 42 36 40 43 41 36 32 32 31 33 37 40
NOx MtN 13 12 13 14 14 13 11 9 7 6 6 5