Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

474 Statistical Table
Marker Scenario A2-ASF
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2791 3295 3801 4308 4779 5500 5764 6137 6333 6858 7214 7340
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.4 2.3 3.5 5.3 7.6 12.6 15.0 20.0 23.1 34.9 50.5 57.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
Non-commeicial
EJ
Solids 21 28 33 38 33 27 22 22 23 23 23 23
Liquids 13 24 39 64 77 90 103 118 134 156 185 215
Gas 2 5 9 19 28 36 45 51 56 59 60 60
Electricity 5 9 13 20 42 64 86 104 121 140 160 181
Others
Total 42 65 95 141 179 218 256 295 334 379 429 479
Primaiy Energy
EJ
Coal 32 43 52 62 86 110 134 181 227 272 313 355
Oil 17 30 48 77 70 64 57 35 13 1 1 0
Gas 3 6 13 24 42 60 79 85 ' 91 93 88 84
Nuclear 0 1 2 3 11 19 26 37 47 60 75 90
Biomass 0 0 1 3 10 16 23 22 21 20 20 20
Other Renewables 1 2 3 5 8 12 16 18 21 25 28 32
Total 53 82 119 174 228 281 335 378 421 470 526 581
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.2 3.2 4.4 6.0 8.1 10.6 13.5 16.9
Oil 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.0
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.5 5.4 6.3
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 43.6 77.2 121.7 175.4 236.4 305.0 381.1 465.1 558.2 660.8
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.47
Other C02 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.34
Total C02 GtC 1.53 2.03 2.81
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 144
N20 total MtN20-N 2.3 2.6 3.2
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 36.2
HFC MtC eq. 0 5 11
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 11
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 11
CO MtCO 235 270 321
NMVOC Mt 33 37 41
NOx MtN 7 9 12
3.52 4.64 5.45 6.27 7.08 7.90 8.79 9.75 10.71
0.39 0.35 0.28 0.22 0.15 0.08 0.04 0.03 0.02
3.92 4.99 5,73 6.48 7.23 7.98 8.83 9.78 10.74
163 184 205 227 241 255 272 290 308
4.0 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.8 6.2 6.6 6.9 7.2
51.5 56.6 52.7 48.9 40.1 31.3 25.6 23.1 20.5
18 27 38 54 77 100 130 167 204
15 20 25 32 42 49 56 64 67
16 20 27 34 43 49 55 62 67
361 435 479 522 576 630 707 806 906
46 50 53 56 60 64 69 76 82
16 20 23 26 28 30 33 36 40