Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

366 Open Process
Preliminary A2 Marker Scenario - ASIA (Open process version, date of submission: 12I14II98)
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million 2779 4308 5764 7340
GNP/GDP in Trillion US$90* 1.7 5.3 15.0 57.1
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial
Solids 23.7 38.1 21.5 23.2
Liquids 15.3 63.8 103.0 214.7
Gas 2.6 18.8 45.2 60.2
Electricity 6.2 20.2 86.3 180.6
Other (e.g. H^)
Total 47.8 140.9 256.0 478.7
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal 36.3 62.2 134.0 355.0
Oil 19.1 76.9 57.1 0.0
Gas 4.0 23.8 78.6 84.2
Nuclear 0.4 3.1 26.5 90.3
Biomass 0.0 3.4 22.9 19.8
Other Renewables 1.3 4.9 15.6 31.9
Total 61.0 174.2 334.8 581.2
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal 0 1.46 4.3 16.5
Oil 0 1.28 3.2 3.6
Gas 0 0.33 1.7 6.1
Cumulative CO2 Emissions in GtC 0 82 239 666
Land Use in Million ha
Forests
Grasslands
Cropland
Energy Biomass
Other
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)
CO2 (as C) in MtC 1328 3340 5615 10238
Other CO2 (as C) in MtC 400 706 956 522.6
Total CO2 (as C) in MtC 1728 4045 6572 10761
CH4 total (as CH4) in Mt CH^ 115 170 233 314.3
N2O total (as N) in Mt N2O-N 2.31 4.44 5.81 7.67
SO^ total (as S) in MtS 19.4 51.6 49 20.51
CO (as CO) in Mt CO 97 155 224 389
VOCs in Mt 21 32 42 69
N0^ (as N) in MtN 9 18 28 42
at market exchange rate