Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

454 Statistical Table
Scenario AIT-MARIA
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2642 3080 3425 3728 3861 3895 4008 3814 3632 3368 3040 2744
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.2 2.6 5.8 12.3 20.8 35.9 61.8 80.3 102.5 128.8 159.8 204 1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
Non-commercial
EJ
Solids 20 18 25 17 12 8 6 4 3 2 2 1
Liquids 26 42 65 97 120 146 168 172 190 200 212 214
Gas 2 3 4 8 16 25 35 41 29 24 17 22
Electiicity 4 9 11 16 19 24 34 41 46 52 59 64
Others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 52 72 106 139 168 203 243 257 267 277 289 301
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 28 24 29 20 14 10 7 5 3 2 2 1
Oil 14 23 36 51 51 72 92 72 56 39 45 41
Gas 3 5 8 14 20 28 38 42 30 25 17 22
Nuclear 1 12 18 26 28 50 55 79 89 103 ¡22 ¡33
Biomass 13 21 31 51 80 81 81 104 137 162 168 174
Other Renewables 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 20 20 20 20 20
Total 61 86 124 163 195 243 293 322 335 352 373 391
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1 2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1 4
0)1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.1 5.5
Gas 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.3
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.5 19.3 41.5 66.1 90.9 1173 148.0 179.0 205.0 225.8 244.1 261.9
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Miüion ha
366 366 380 380 380 380 380 377 373 336 305 263
431 431 421 423 423 423 384 375 375 375 375 375
0 0 0 0 0 0 40 52 57 93 124 167
365 367 380 388 397 404 404 404 404 404 404 404
458 456 440 430 421 414 412 412 412 4¡2 412 412
1621 1621 1621 1621 ¡621 1621 ¡621 1621 162¡ ¡621 1621 1621
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Othei C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
1.15
0.37
1.53
1.78 2.20 2.36 2.31 2.73 321
0.26 0.20 0.¡6 0.12 0.10 0.09
2.03 2.40 2 53 2.44 2.83 3.31
2.82 2.27 1.83 1.81 180
0.07 0.04 0.02 0.00 -О 03
2.89 2.32 1.85 1.80 177
5 18 45 92 153 224 292 292 285 275 262
5 8 15 23 30 35 39 43 46 48 46
7 12 19 28 42 50 55 48 35 33 37