Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table 493
Scenario A2-Al-MiniCAlVI
REF
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 428 446 462 475 480 480 475 470 466 464 470 475
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.9 5.1 6.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 pi 'ices) na na na na na na na na na na na na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 13 11 10 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 6 6
Liquids 18 12 9 8 6 6 6 8 9 11 13 15
Gas 19 16 13 11 10 10 11 12 ¡5 18 19 20
Electricity 6 9 И 13 13 13 14 20 26 32 39 47
Others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 56 48 43 40 36 35 37 45 55 66 77 88
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 18 19 19 17 18 19 20 18 18 20 22 24
Oil 20 \5 11 9 6 5 6 8 11 13 15 17
Gas 26 21 20 21 19 18 18 23 28 33 35 37
Nuclear 3 4 6 6 6 6 6 8 10 11 15 19
Biomass 0 1 1
2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4
Other Renewables 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 8 9 11 13 16
Total 70 64 60 58 55 54 57 67 79 92 105 118
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2
Gas 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.7
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.3 12.3 21.0 29.3 36.8 43.6 50.4 57.5 65.2 75.0 86.5 98.8
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 284 293 301 310 298 281 260 247 244 251 242 232
Grasslands 395 410 430 458 450 441 428 436 473 539 571 604
Energy Biomass 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 6 9 9 7 5
Forest 1007 1016 999 956 978 1018 1075 1093 1054 958 925 891
Others 691 659 646 652 649 636 612 595 598 621 633 644
Total 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.81 0.74 0.67 0.65 0.66 0.75 0.88 1.04 1.16 1.29
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.04 -0.04 -0.03 0.07 0.03 -0.02
Total C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.83 0.81 0.70 0.66 0.70 0.71 0.84 1.11 1.19 1.27
CH4 total MtCH4 47 39 43 49 51 55 61 67 78 94 107 120
N20 total MtN20-N 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 I.l 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2
SOx total MtS 17.0 11.0 10.3 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.8 9.3 9.8 10.1 10.3 10.5
HFC MtC eq. 0 4 8 13 20 27 31 37 41 44 48 52
PFC MtC eq. 7 4 8 10 14 17 20 25 30 35 40 42
SF6 MtC eq. 8 6 7 10 12 15 19 24 28 32 36 38
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN