Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

364 Open Process
Preliminary A2 Marker Scenario - OECD90 (Open process version, date of submission: 12I14II98)
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million 848 1030 1151 1496
GNP/GDP in Trillion US$90* 15.7 26.0 39.9 87.6
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial
Solids 12.7 12.7 14.2 16.3
Liquids 68.6 99.0 92.1 146.0
Gas 27.7 32.9 45.6 59.6
Electricity 23.9 39.0 58.8 130.4
Other (e.g. Hj)
Total 132.9 183.6 210.7 352.3
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal 32.2 37.0 92.0 217.7
Oil 77.4 116.4 49.4 0.0
Gas 34.9 43.3 69.3 77.0
Nuclear 6.9 10.8 20.2 72.0
Biomass 0.0 3.6 22.8 28.5
Other Renewables 5.5 8.4 12.0 22.6
Total 156.9 219.5 265.7 417.8
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal 0 0.99 2.8 10.4
Oil 0 3.06 5.4 5.7
Gas 0 1.17 2.8 6.5
Cumulative CO^ Emissions in GtC 0 102 229 500
Land Use in Million ha
Forests
Grasslands
Cropland
Energy Biomass
Other
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)
CO2 (as C) in MtC 2758 3721 4272 6659
Other CO2 (as C) in MtC 78.6 139 373 156
Total CO2 (as C) in MtC 2837 3860 4644 6815
CH4 total (as CH4) in Mt CH^ 73.9 84.4 106 166
Щ0 total (as N) in Mt N2O-N 2.67 3.2 3.24 4.13
SO^ total (as S) in MtS 29.2 14.5 13.4 11.8
CO (as CO) in Mt CO 78 98 83 127
VOCs in Mt 43 58 56 80
NO^ (as N) in MtN 12 17 18 23
* at market exchange rate