Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table 569
Scenario B2-MiniCAM
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population MilUon 2790 3261 3707 4127 4463 4739 4953 5037 5070 5052 4932 4814
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.4 3.1 6.0 10.3 17.5 25.9 35.6 46.6 58.4 71.0 84.5 99.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) na na na na na na na na na na na na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 20 30 42 55 64 69 72 59 52 50 50 50
Liquids 14 19 26 35 41 50 64 78 91 103 111 119
Gas 2 5 9 13 17 19 22 25 30 35 35 36
Electricity 4 11 22 37 55 77 102 131 160 189 215 241
Others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 40 66 99 140 176 216 260 293 332 377 411 445
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 26 44 64 86 104 116 121 103 92 88 88 87
Oil 16 21 28 37 39 48 62 80 95 109 117 126
Gas 3 9 19 35 48 62 75 90 103 114 114 114
Nuclear 1 4 8 12 20 29 40 45 51 57 71
84
Biomass 0 2 5 8 10 13 15 20 23 24 24 24
Other Renewables 3 4 7 12 21 33 48 67 86 105 114 123
Total 49 83 130 190 243 300 36! 405 450 498 528 558
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.7 3.8 5.0 6.0 7.0 7.9 8.8 9.7
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.8 4.8 5.9 7.1
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.2 7.3
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 43.2 75.6 116.4 163.7 216.2 271.4 327.4 385.2 444.2 503.6
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 389 401 413 425 430 428 417 381 349 321 300 279
Grasslands 508 523 550 589 625 655 679 674 666 655 649 643
Energy Biomass 0 0 1 3 3 3 3 10 12 8 6 4
Forest 1168 1143 1104 1052 1010 981 965 1000 1039 1082 1110 1139
Others 664 632 603 577 572 568 566 555 554 562 588 614
Total 2729 2699 2671 2646 2639 2634 2630 2620 2619 2628 2653 2678
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
1.15 1.78 2.55 3.48 4.18 4.82 5.39 5.45 5.64 5.96 6.11 6.26
0.37 0.26 0.19 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.10 0.09 0.03 -0.08 -0.19 -0.29
1.53 2.03 2.74 3.73 4.43 5.02 5.49 5.54 5.67 5.88 5.92 5.96
113 125 133 142 154 163 171 164 160 160 163 167
2.3 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.4 5.8
17.7 25.3 35.9 45.6 48.5 48.2 44.7 34.6 26.2 19.4 16.0 12.5
0 5 21 40 66 95 130 164 199 233 267 302
3 5 14 22 30 38 46 51 54 54 53 51
4 7 12 18 25 32 36 36 33 27 29 30