Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

464
Statistical
Table
Scenario Alv2-lVIiniCAM
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population
Million
2790 3165 3517 3847 4078 4237 4322 4242 4123 3965 3779 3597
GNP/GDP (тех)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Trillion USS
1.4 3.1 6.3 11.1 20.7 32.7 46.9 63.7 81.5 100.2 119.0 139,5
na na na na na na na na na na na na
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 30 42 55 70 81 88 71 60 55 52 49
14 19 25 34 42 53 69 80 91 101 108 114
2 5 9 13 17 19 21 27 32 38 38 39
4 11 22 40 64 91 122 152 179 203 219 236
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
40 64 98 142 192 244 299 330 362 397 417 438
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 26 43 65 91 125 151 168 141 124 116 112 107
Oil 16 20 27 37 41 51 67 86 102 113 119 125
Gas 3 8 20 37 57 77 96 121 - 140 153 150 146
Nuclear 1 4 8 14 25 36 48 49 53 58 63 68
Biomass 0 2 5 9 13 16 20 27 31 31 30 29
Other Renewables 3 4 5 6 10 15 23 35 46 56 65 74
Total 49 81 130 195 270 346 422 460 495 527 538 549
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.9 4.3 5.8 7.3 8.6 9.9 11.0 12.1
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.2 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.2 7.3
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.7 5.0 6.4 7.9 9.4
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 43.5 77.3 123.0 180.2 247.1 318.5 390.0 462.4 534.5 604.7
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 389 397 406 415 420 417 406 366 326 286 259 232
Grasslands 508 523 553 598 642 678 706 698 682 658 640 622
Energy Biomass 0 0 1 4 6 8 9 16 18 13 11 9
Forest 1168 1146 1108 1052 1001 964 943 983 1038 1108 1156 1204
Others 664 635 606 575 569 569 575 573 577 586 615 644
Total 2729 2702 2674 2645 2638 2636 2639 2637 2641 2652 2681 2710
jogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.61 3.70 4.90 5.99 6.99 7.03 7.15 7.35 7.33 7.31
Other C02 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.19 0.26 0.28 0.25 0.16 0.10 0.03 -0.06 -0.21 -0.37
Total C02 GtC 1.53 2.03 2.80 3.96 5.18 6.24 7.15 7.13 7.18 7.30 7.12 6.94
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 133 144 160 174 187 174 169 171 171 172
N20 total MtN20-N 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.3 5.5
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 34.9 44.6 46.3 42.4 32.7 20.9 13.2 9.6 9.0 8.4
HFC MtC eq. 0 5 18 45 92 153 224 292 292 285 275 262
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 8 15 23 30 35 39 43 46 48 46
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 12 19 28 42 50 55 48 35 33 37
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN