Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

468 Statistical Table
Scenario A2-AIM
REF
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population MiUion 413 428 444 460 476 497 519 555 593 630 667 706
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.7 4.9 6.4 8.4 10.8 13.9
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 2 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 9 7 10 И 13 14 15 15 16 16 16 17
Liquids 19 9 8 8 8 8 7 8 9 10 12 14
Gas 19 13 18 22 27 31 36 37 39 42 46 51
Electricity 8 9 12 14 16 20 25 30 37 44 52 61
Others
Total 58 43 48 55 64 72 82 91 101 113 127 143
Primaiy Energy
EJ
Coal 18 17 23 28 33 36 39 49 62 83 118 166
Oil 22 13 11 10 9 8 7 5 3 2 1 1
Gas 26 21 27 32 37 40 44 46 47 51 56 61
Nuclear I 1 2 2 2 4 7 9 12 15 19 24
Biomass 2 4 0 1 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9
Other Renewables 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 7 10 13 16
Total 71 58 63 75 85 94 106 121 141 170 215 277
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.7 3.5 4.6 6.0
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
Gas 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.9 4.5
Cumulative COÏ Emissions GtC 1.3 12.3 22.5 34.0 46.5 60.7 76.6 94.8 116.2 141.8 173.5 213.4
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 268 270 276 282 288 295 302 309 317 325 333 341
Grasslands 341 362 366 370 373 376 379 382 385 387 390 392
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 4 9 11 14 14 14 14 13 12
Forest 966 950 936 938 941 942 942 936 929 924 920 915
Others 701 694 698 682 665 651 638 634 630 626 621 615
Total 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276 2276
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossi! Fuel C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 1.11 1.30 1.47 1.59 1.73 1.98 2.27 2.73 3.45 4.36
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.14 -0.12 -0.09 -0.05 -0.01 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.10
Total C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 1.13 1.16 1.35 1.50 1.68 1.97 2.31 2.80 3.54 4.45
CH4 total MtCH4 47 39 48 47 45 46 46 53 60 69 79 90
N20 total MtN20-N 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9
SOx total MtS 17.0 11.0 14.8 17.4 15.3 10.4 7.0 6.4 5.9 6.8 9.5 13.0
HFC MtC eq. 0 4 8 13 20 27 31 37 41 44 48 52
PFC MtC eq. 7 4 8 10 14 17 20 25 30 35 40 42
SP6 MtC eq. 8 6 7 10 12 15 19 24 28 32 36 38
CO MtCO 69 41 41 43 46 47 48 50 53 57 62 68
NMVOC Mt 16 13 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 12
NOx MtN 5 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3