Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

358 Open Process
Table VI-4a: Standardized GHG emissions for the preliminary Al marker (AIM) as posted on the CIESIN web page
(sres.ciesin.org) during the open process. These data are not necessarily identical with the final marker scenarios.
Preliminary Al Marker Scenano - WORLD (Open process version, date of submission: 12/10/98)
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million 5262 7493 8704 7056
GNP/GDP in Trillion US$90* 20.9 56.5 181.3 528.5
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial 49.8 35.6 0 0
Solids 36 62 74.5 24.6
Liquids 110.7 196.9 301.8 386.5
Gas 50.5 134 295.1 431.7
Electricity 38.3 103.7 330.7 898.1
Others
Total 285.3 532.2 1002 1741
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal 85 144.5 140.3 41.1
Oil 125.8 200.5 181 107
Gas 67.6 186.5 400.3 490.4
Nuclear 6.5 30.4 122.7 77.9
Biomass 49.8 62.8 192.8 375.9
Other Renewables 10.3 23 167.1 986.9
Total 345 647.8 1204 2079
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal 0.1 3.4 7.9 12.2
Oil 0.1 5 10.8 17.7
Gas 0.1 3.5 12.2 36.1
Cumulative CO2 Emissions in GtC 7.1 309.5 768.7 1517
Land Use in Million ha
Cropland 1437 1553 1325 858
Grasslands 3290 3750 4065 3551
Energy Biomass 0 200 793 1208
Forest 4249 3811 3874 4326
Others 3966 3628 2885 2999
Total 12942 12942 12942 12942
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)
CO2 (as C) in GtC 6 12.1 16 13.1
Other CO2 (as C) in GtC 1.2 1.9 0.2 -0.2
Total CO2 (as C) in GtC 7.1 14 16.2 12.9
CH4 total (as CH4) in Mt CH4 341.7 499.3 529.7 316.2
N2O total (as N) in Mt N2O-N 6.6 7.7 6.8 4.8
SO^ total (as S) in MtS 69.1 101.8 63.8 24.4
CO (as CO) in Mt CO 751.7 1328 1787 2268
VOCs in Mt
NOx (as N) in MtN 27.6 46.9 47.2 38.3
* at market exchange rate