Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

394 Statistical Table
Scenario AIB-IMAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
ASIA
Population
Million
2781 3246 3609 3929 4142 4235
4220 4088 3871 3594 3262 2886
GNP/GDP (тех)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/cap
1.4 2.7 4.7 8.7 16.1 28.8
337.2 531.9 873.7 1553.2 2837.7 5139.5
48.2 73.2 103.0 139.3 173.5 200.7
8819.4 13804.2 19837.3 27431.3 35626.4 44069.4
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
29 33 33 30 26 20
20 24 26 29 32 35
12 21 29 38 49 59
2 8 17 23 27 30
4 9 20 42 75 119
0 1 3 12 23 33
68 96 127 174 232 295
14 13 11 10 8 7
33 30 27 23 19 15
58 57 55 51 46 42
39 45 47 49 47 43
150 166 173 171 159 139
40 42 40 38 35 31
334 352 352 341 314 277
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
EJ
28 42 53 71 99 126
16 27 40 59 77 76
4 12 29 52 76 87
0 ] 2 6 14 32
0 1 4 14 31 52
125 108 91 70 50 36
96 98 92 84 71 57
94 110 / 98 88 86 65
55 75 91 104 107 102
61 62 55 53 46 36
Other Renewables
Total
30 34 36 33 29 24
79 116 163 235 326 397
18 17 15 14 13 12
449 468 442 413 373 308
Cumulative Resources Production ZJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
0.0 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.7
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1
3.6 4.5 5.1 5.7 6.1 6.4
1.8 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.2
1.5 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.8
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.5 19.3 43.6 77.7 125.1 185.8
253.3 319.3 380.0 434.2 479.9 517.1
Carbon Sequestration '
GtC
0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7
0.5 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands '
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
382 386 396 413 428 430
561 664 692 747 770 778
1 1 3 15 53 95
488 397 369 331 286 252
545 527 515 470 439 421
1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976
409 394 372 327 306 267
697 626 601 560 539 473
142 141 117 129 126 97
244 273 335 403 438 515
484 543 551 557 566 624
1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02 f
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
1.15 1.78 2.58 3.68 5.08 6.38
0.37 0.26 0.24 0.32 0.40 0.29
1.53 2.03 2.82 4.00 5.48 6.66
113 125 136 157 181 198
2.3 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.1
17.7 25.3 29.9 33.6 39.5 42.9
0 5 18 45 92 153
3 5 8 15 23 30
4 7 12 19 28 42
235 270 294 332 406 378
33 37 40 45 50 51
7 9 12 16 21 24
6.58 6.18 5.68 4.88 3.98 3.28
0.27 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.06
6.85 6.33 5.82 5.02 4.12 3.33
206 206 202 191 183 166
4.1 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.1
39.4 35.8 32.2 27.3 21.9 17.6
224 292 292 285 275 262
35 39 43 46 48 46
50 55 48 35 33 37
403 418 426 421 420 385
51 49 47 44 42 39
23 22 21 18 16 13
a: NOT ppp-coiTected.
b: NOT use but production.
c: Net Ecosystem Production (NEP).
d: Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species,
e: Permanent pasture: FAO category "land for grass & fodder species",
f; Approximate calculation from complex land-use module.