Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

494 Statistical Table
Scenario A2-Al-MiniCAM
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2790 3193 3603 4022 4396 4723 5004 5179 5343 5496 5663 5833
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.4 3.1 4.5 5.6 6.9 9.6 13.6 22.0 31.9 43.4 58.1 75.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) na na na na na na na na na na na na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 20 34 43 48 54 63 76 77 80 88 94 99
Liquids 14 21 24 24 24 30 41 62 84 107 132 156
Gas 2 6 7 8 8 10 15 21 29 39 43 47
Electricity 4 12 19 24 28 40 59 100 145 193 250 306
Others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 40 72 93 104 114 143 191 260 338 426 517 608
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 26 49 63 68 75 87 105 112 124 141 154 168
Oil 16 22 26 26 24 28 39 64 90 115 140 165
Gas 3 10 16 21 24 34 51 79 109 . 140 154 168
Nuclear 1 4 7 8 11 17 27 45 60 75 105 135
Biomass 0 2 4 6 7 9 11 18 24 29 31 34
Other Renewables 3 4 5 6 8 11 15 25 37 51 67 83
Total 49 92 121 136 148 186 249 344 444 550 652 753
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.5 1.0 L7 2.4 3.2 4.2 5.3 6.5 7.8 9.3 10.8
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.9 5.3 6.6
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.1 3.0 4.2 5.7 7.2
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 41.7 67.2 94.3 124.5 161.7 208.2 265.2 335.0 416.5 507.9
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
389 399 406 411 403 390 373 351 339 336 327 319
508 523 535 545 548 554 562 570 583 601 621 641
0 0 1 4 5 6 7 21 32 39 39 38
1168 1145 1124 1104 1108 1114 1122 1125 1114 1090 1075 1061
664 634 622 628 625 613 592 575 576 597 609 621
2729 2701 2689 2693 2689 2677 2657 2642 2644 2663 2672 2680
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.15 1.78 2.27 2.48
Other C02 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.17 0.18
Total C02 GtC 1.53 2.03 2.44 2.66
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 129 128
N20 total MtN20-N 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.0
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 31.5 30.8
HFC MtC eq. 0 5 11 18
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 11 15
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 11 16
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
2.66
0.10
2.76
131
3.2
32.3
27
20
20
3.19
0.07
3 27
133
3.4
36.0
38
25
27
4.08
0.09
4.17
136
3.7
41.9
54
32
34
5.10
0.03
5.13
139
3.9
43.4
77
42
43
6.27
0.02
6.29
146
4.3
43.8
100
49
49
7.59
0.08
7.67
159
4.9
43.1
130
56
55
8.59
0.04
8.63
168
5.5
40.1
167
64
62
9.65
0.00
9.64
176
6.1
37.1
204
67
67