Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Open Process 369
Preliminary Bl Marker Scenario - OECD90 (Open process version, date of submission: 1017198}
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million
801
950
1023
1055
GNP/GDP in Trillion US$90*
GNP/GDP (US$/cap)
16.51
20613
32.22
33917
52.32
51144
78.19
74114
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
5.3
8.2
49.7
28.6
24.1
115.9
3
5.7
57.9
38.3
53.1
158
1.2
5.5
53.5
47.3
63.6
171.1
0.8
8.4
39
69.4
72.3
189.9
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal
Oil (excluding feedstocks)
Gas (excluding feedstocks)
Non-Fossil Electricity (Nuclear/Solar)
Biomass
Other Renewables (Hydro/Fuelwood)
Total
36.9
53.2
39.9
6.7
1.5
9.4
147.6
15
64.2
68.4
30.4
4.4
8.8
191.2
9.8
52.9
55.7
51.9
13.5
7.9
183.8
11.6
23.4
65.1
63.9
22.4
8.1
186.4
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
2.42
0.95
0.94
3.17
1.8
2.38
3.66
2.56
3.94
4.69
3.33
6.78
Cumulative COj Emissions in GtC
Carbon Sequestration in GtC
49
0.4
139
0.6
215
0.8
325
0.8
Land Use in Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
379.3
785.7
2.0
1114.8
956.4
3238
415.4
687.0
3.1
1160.2
972.5
3238
501.8
513.2
22.9
1198.7
1001.7
3238
437.7
439.1
73.0
1199.8
1088.6
3238
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)
COj (as C) in GtC
Other COj (as C) in GtC
Total C02"(as C) in GtC
CH4 total (as CH4) in Mt CH^
Np total (as N) in Mt Np-N
SO^ total (as S) in MtS
CO (as CO) in Mt CO
VOCs in Mt
N0^ (as N) in MtN
2.7
0.2
2.9
102
1.9
25.0
158
27
9.8
2.9
0.3
3.1
114
2.2
6.1
137
30
7.4
2.4
0.4
2.7
115
2.2
4.5
146
29
6.7
2.1
0.5
2.5
117
2.2
4.4
141
28
6.5
* at market exchange rate