Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical
Table
499
Scenario Bl-AIM
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Popuîation Million 2798 3261 35.56 3851 4147 4183 4220 4016 3822 3541 3194 2882
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.5 2.9 5.2 9.2 16.2 24.0 35.8 46.0 59.2 73.5 88.2 105.9
GNP/GDP (ppp) Tiillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 28 22 20 16 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 15 20 30 39 46 49 52 40 31 24 18 14
Liquids 11 15 26 35 45 51 58 59 60 60 58 57
Gas 2 4 10 18 24 28 33 32 31 28 24 20
Electricity 5 7 15 25 38 54 78 96 119 133 135 137
Others
Total 61 69 101 134 162 189 220 232 244 246 236 227
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 30 39 66 95 122 119 116 94 76 61 49 38
Oil 17 29 39 42 44 40 35 31 28 25 24 23
Gas 4 9 21 37 52 67 87 81 76 67 55 45
Nuclear 0 1 2 3 4 8 16 15 14 13 12 10
Biomass 28 24 19 18 15 19 24 27 31 33 34 35
Other Renewables 1 2 2 4 7 16 34 56 92 122 131 141
Total 80 103 148 199 244 269 314 306 317 321 304 293
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.8 3.8 5.2 6.0 7.0 7.7 8.3 8.8
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.2 5.8
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 45.3 81.0 126.0 177.6 232.2 284.2 328.8 367.4 400.5 429.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
438 435 435 435 434 434 434 434 433 433 433 433
608 606 609 612 614 617 619 622 625 628 631 634
0 0 0 12 28 39 52 54 55 53 50 46
535 525 518 535 551 557 563 577 593 604 610 616
583 598 602 571 536 516 496 477 458 446 441 436
2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.15
Other C02 GtC 0.37
Total C02 GtC 1.53
CH4 total MtCH4 113
N20 total MtN20-N 2.3
SOx total MtS 17.7
HFC MtC eq. 0
PFC MtC eq. 3
SF6 MtC eq. 4
CO MtCO 235
NMVOC Mt 33
NOx MtN 7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
270
37
9
2.87
0.29
3.16
142
2.6
40.0
11
7
11
335
51
12
3.99
0.00
3.99
160
2.6
56.5
20
9
17
366
63
15
4.97
0.05
5.02
183
2.6
58.2
34
11
23
438
59
18
5.19
O.IO
5.29
196
2.7
31.2
56
14
27
473
60
19
5.42
0.22
5.63
209
2.7
16.7
93
17
30
510
61
19
4.74
0.03
4.77
205
2.7
11.4
90
20
32
511
51
16
4.15
0.01
4.15
200
2.6
7.8
85
18
26
511
42
13
3.57
0.00
3.58
177
2.6
6.0
79
18
19
510
33
11
3.03
0.02
3.05
143
2.6
5.3
72
18
16
507
24
9
2.57
0.08
2.66
114
2.5
4.7
64
18
16
504
17