Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical
Table
495
Scenario A2-Al-MiniCAM
ALM
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population
Million
1236 1494 1795 2136 2528 2926 3331 3673 4004 4323 4605 4896
GNP/GDP (mex)
GNP/GDP (ppp) TrilJion (1990 prices)
Trillion US$
J.9 2.8 3.9 5.2 7.0 9.9 13.9 20.8 29,6 40.2 54.8 71.7
na na na na na na na na na na na na
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 3 4 6 8 9 10 11 12 15 17 20
17 22 26 30 30 37 50 72 99 132 168 203
5 7 9 12 16 23 32 42 56 74 84 94
3 6 9 13 19 27 38 60 86 117 162 207
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
27 38 49 60 73 96 130 184 253 337 431 525
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
4 6 8 10 14 18 22 27 34 42 52 61
20 23 27 30 31 38 51 75 104 138 175 212
7 10 14 20 27 38 53 75 102 135 157 178
0 2 4 5 7 11 16 25 35 45 69 93
0 1 1 2 3 3 4 7 9 11 13 15
Other Renewables
Total
5 6 8 11 14 16 19 25 32 40 51 63
35 48 63 78 95 125 166 233 315 411 517 622
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0,0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1,3 1.7 2.1 2.6
0,0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.6 3,5 4.6 6.3 8.0
0.0 0.1 0,2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.1 3,0 4.1 5.7 7.2
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1,4 17.8 35.5 52.9 71,0 91.5 117.3 149.6 190,0 242.3 307.3 384.4
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Gi asslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
391 362 348 350 339 323 303 287 275 267 253 239
1510 1592 1660 1716 1703 1690 1676 1702 1775 1892 1969 2045
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 9 10 10
3641 3595 3539 3474 3495 3525 3565 3560 3498 3379 3306 3232
1957 1887 18.59 1872 1864 1830 1771 1725 1727 1775 1799 1822
7499 7436 7407 7413 7401 7368 7315 7277 7279 7323 7336 7349
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MiS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
0.72 1.01 1.17 1.35 1.57 1.95 2.50 3.33 4.41 5.71 6.96 8.33
0.73 0.82 0.54 0.42 0.28 0.29 0.43 0.21 0.13 0.21 0,11 0.02
1.45 1.83 1.71 1.77 1.85 2.24 2.92 3.54 4.54 5.92 7.07 8.35
77 85 87 91 96 104 113 123 140 164 176 187
1.2 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 3,1 3.7 4.5 5.3 6.1
10.5 12.8 14.1 13.7 14.7 16.4 18.9 20,6 22.4 24.4 25.7 27.0
0 2 19 32 49 69 98 139 181 233 295 336
4 4 8 12 16 21 26 34 39 45 50 52
3 5 7 10 13 18 23 29 32 37 41 43