Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

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Statistical
Table
Scenario Alvl-MiniCAM
REF
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 20S0 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 428 425 426 433 434 431 423 408 392 374 357 340
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.1 1.1 1.4 2.1 3.5 5.1 6.9 10.0 13.6 17.7 21.8 26.3
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) na na na na na na na na na na na na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Soiids ¡3 ¡0 8 7 7 6 6 4 3 3 3 2
Liquids 18 11 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 11 11 11
Gas 19 14 13 15 17 16 14 15 16 17 16 15
Electricity 6 8 11 17 21 25 28 30 31 33 33 34
Others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 56 44 41 49 54 57 58 59 61 64 63 62
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 18 17 17 19 27 32 34 26 21 18 18 17
Oil 20 13 10 11 7 6 8 10 12 13 13 13
Gas 26 20 2Î 29 32 33 31 32 . 34 34 32 29
Nucleiir 3 4 6 8 10 10 11 9 8 9 9 9
Biomass 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
Other Renewables 3 3 3 4 5 6 8 9 11 12 13 14
Total 70 57 58 73 83 90 93 91 89 90 87 85
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2
Gas 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.3
Cumulative C02 Emissions GlC 1.3 12.3 21.4 31.6 44.0 57.9 72.3 86.2 99.5 112.0 123.0 131.9
Carbon Sequestradon
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 284 294 305 317 321 317 304 263 221 180 157 134
Grasslands 395 410 454 527 612 678 725 671 602 517 491 465
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forest 1007 1016 996 945 866 808 769 865 970 1086 1104 1122
Others 691 657 623 587 577 574 579 579 584 594 625 657
Total 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377 2377
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GlC 1.30 0.91 0.87 1.05 1.22 1.33 1,36 1,26 1.20 1.18 1,16 1,15
Outer C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.08 0.12 0.12 0,07 0,11 0.09 0.03 -0.16 -0.35
Total C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.91 1.13 1.34 1.44 1.43 1,37 1.29 1.20 1,00 0.80
CH4 total MtCH4 47 39 48 64 78 89 98 99 101 106 113 120
N20 total MtN20-N 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1,6 1,6 1.5 1,5 1,5 1.6
SOx total MtS 17.0 11.0 10.2 10.4 11.8 11,2 8,6 4.6 2.3 1,8 1.9 2.1
HFC MtC eq. 0 4 8 19 29 31 32 33 33 34 33 31
PFC MtC eq. 7 4 5 8 14 20 21 22 23 24 25 24
SF6 MtC eq. 8 6 8 10 14 18 21 19 15 14 10 11
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN