Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

564 Statistical Table
Marker Scenario B2-MESSAGE 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
ASIA
Population MiUion 2798 3248 3649 4008 4312 4538 4696 4790 4856 4902 4938 4968
GNP/GDP (тех) TrUUon US$ 1.5 3.5 7.2 13.2 21.3 30.7 41.8 52.7 64.1 75.0 85.8 97.1
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) 5.3 9.3 15.1 22.4 30.7 39.3 49.3 59.0 68.7 78.5 89.2 100.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 24 16 16 13 11 9 7 6 5 5 5 4
Solids 19 30 29 28 24 25 17 14 12 12 9 2
Liquids 13 26 41 60 81 96 112 117 109 107 114 122
Gas 2 3 5 9 13 18 22 30 38 37 34 33
Electricity 4 8 14 24 37 53 70 87 108 131 151 169
Others 1 3 7 10 16 20 25 31 35 43 51 55
Total 62 86 111 144 181 220 252 284 308 335 363 385
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 30 38 47 47 48 53 48 56 71 105 144 180
Oil 15 32 45 63 82 88 93 82 61 41 27 21
Gas 3 6 16 31 43 55 61 72 79 66 51 39
Nuclear 0 1 2 4 7 13 21 29 38 47 56 65
Biomass 24 22 25 28 32 41 54 68 88 109 123 129
Other Renewables 1 4 7 12 21 31 43 52 61 71 81 88
Total 74 103 141 185 233 281 319 359 397 439 482 521
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.7 4.3 5.3 6.7
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.2 5.0 5.6 6.1 6.3
Gas 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.5
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1,5 19.3 42.6 70.0 101.7 138.9 179.3 220.9 263.3 307.3 355.0 408.2
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use ^
MilUon ha
Cropland 438 439 448 457 466 475 484 494 504 514 524 535
Grasslands 608 607 611 615 618 623 627 632 636 640 644 647
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 3 21 43 65 70 76 77 73 69
Forest 535 525 518 533 548 553 558 563 567 571 575 580
Others 583 593 587 557 512 471 430 406 382 362 348 333
Total 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 ^ GtC 1.15 1.78 2.42 3.02 3.62 4.07
Other C02 ^ GlC 0.37 0.26 0.20 -0.15 -0.16 -0.09
Total C02 GtC 1.53 2.03 2.62 2.87 3.46 3.98
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 146 171 201 219
N20 total