Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Open Process 359
Preliminary Al Marker Scenario - OECD90 (Open process version, date of submission: 12110198)
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million 858.5 1002 1081 1110
GNP/GDP in Trillion US$90* 16.4 31 54.1 121
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial 6.1 0 0 0
Solids 10 8.5 6.1 1.4
Liquids 64.1 81.8 74.5 66.5
Gas 24.8 50.4 68.1 78.1
Electricity 21.8 39.5 69.7 175
Others
Total 126.8 180 218 321
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal 37.7 32.5 26 6.2
Oil 70 80.8 50.6 29.3
Gas 31.4 65.2 88.4 89.4
Nuclear 5.2 16.5 24.3 15
Bioma.ss 6.1 4.1 29.1 56.8
Other Renewables 5.5 10.8 35.3 192
Total 155.9 210 254 389
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal 0 1.2 2 2.7
Oil 0.1 2.5 4.5 6.3
Gas 0 1.5 3.9 8.5
Cumulative CO2 Emissions in GtC 2.9 103 207 344
Land Use in Million ha
Cropland 410 381 300 198
Grasslands 787 788 815 730
Energy Biomass 0 15 95 179
Forest 1056 1105 1243 1370
Others 886 851 686 663
Total 3140 3140 3140 3140
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)
CO2 (as C) in GtC 2.9 3.6 3.5 2.3
Other CO2 (as C) in GtC 0 0 -0.2 0
Total CO2 (as C) in GtC 2.9 3.6 3.2 2.3
CH4 total (as CH4) in Mt CH4 81.1 78.9 61.7 47.5
N2O total (as N) in Mt N2O-N 2.7 2.8 2.3 1.5
SOx total (as S) in MtS 22.0 6.1 5.8 4.6
CO (as CO) in Mt CO 173.5 225 247 261
VOCs in Mt
N0^ (as N) in MtN 12.9 12.8 7.3 5.9
' at maitet exchange rate