Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table
389
Scenario AlB-ASF
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population
Million 1 2780 3261 3572 3884 4073 4181 4220 4012 3913 3538 3033 2882
GNP/GDP (тех)
Trill
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
iUS$ 1.7 3.5 7.2 14,1 24.2 47.5 59.5 79,6 92,2 134,9 175,7 191,9
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
24 42 59 73 57 42 26 23 20 17 15 13
15 37 72 133 161 190 218 219 220 217 210 202
3 8 21 53 72 92 111 ¡06 101 88 69 50
6 13 25 43 110 177 243 290 337 363 368 374
48 100 177 301 400 500 599 638 677 685 662 638
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
36 67 92 129 211 293 375 365 356 348 342 336
19 46 89 144 110 77 43 26 9 0 0 0
4 П 28 68 107 145 184 168 152 118 66 13
0 1 4 9 38 67 96 108 120 133 147 161
0 0 0 11 21 31 41 44 47 53 63 73
Other Renewables
Total
5 5 8 11 24 38 51 95 139 161 162 163
64 130 221 371 511 650 789 806 823 814 780 746
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 0.6 1.4 2,5 4.2 6.7 10.1 13.8 17.4 20.9 24,3 27,7
0.0 0.3 I.Û 2.2 3.4 4.3 4,9 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.4 5,4
0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1,6 2.9 4.5 6.3 7.9 9.2 10,1 10,4
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.5 19.3 48,9 102.4 185.2 292.1 417,3 547,7 669,H 783,7 889,5 987,0
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Eneigy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
1.15 1.78 3..55 6,41 9.43 11.34
0.37 0.26
0.34 0,39 0.33 0.26
¡,53 2.03
3,89 6,80 9,76 11.60
113 125 146 167 190 206
2.3 2.6
17,7 25.3
0 5
3 5
4 7
235 270
33 37
7 9
3.2 4.1 4,7 5.0
47.2 67.9 58.5 38.4
18 45 92 153
8 15 23 30
12 19 28 42
374 471 629 71!
43 54 66 75
16 27 36 42
13.26 12..50 11,73 10.95 10.15 9,.35
0,19 0.13 0,07 0.03 0.01 0.00
13.45 12.62 11,80 10.98 10.16 9,34
222 208 193 183 179 174
5.4 5.2 5,0 4.7 4.4 4,0
18.3 15.6 12.9 11.7 12,0 12,3
224 292 292 285 275 262
35 39 43 46 48 46
50 55 48 35 33 37
792 802 811 804 778 753
84 95 105 115 123 132
47 44 40 37 35 32