Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

82 An Overview of the Scenario Literature
Table 2-1: Number of regional and global GHG emissions scenarios in the SRES ESD. The database (from 3 April 1998)
included a total of 416 regional and global scenarios from 171 sources. The individual number of scenarios per region or
country exceeds the global total because some scenarios include both global and regional data. There are also more scenarios
at the regional level than at the global level. In addition to the original sources of individual emissions scenarios, the database
utilized the large number of scenarios compiled in the following assessments: International Energy Workshop Poll (Manne and
Schrattenholzer, 1995,1996,1997); Energy Modeling Forum (EMF-14; see, e.g., Weyant, 1993) data; and the previous
database compiled for the IPCC (Alcamo et al, 1995).
Region ID Number of Matching Scenarios Region ID Number of Matching
Scenarios
World 340 Europe 12
OECD 164 OECD Westf 13
Non-OECD 158 Middle East/North Africa 12
China 153 East Asia 12
USA 136 Extra» 12
FSU 121 West Europe 11
EEC 85 DC 7
Japan 69 OSEAsia*^ 7
FSU+EE№ 61 SubS Africa 6
Annex P 46 Annex 2^ 6
Non-Annex 1^ 46 Opacifie 6
Latin America 42 Poland 5
India 36 OPEC 4
Africa 34 United Kingdom 4
CPAsia^ 32 LDC 4
East Europe'^ 31 Non-OPEC DO 3
ALM'' 30 Hungary 3
CANZ 29 Switzerland 3
Mexico and OPEC 29 INDUS'' 3
Non-OECD Annex 1 29 Asia Pacific 2
Middle East 27 Austria 2
Oceania 25 Brazil 2
Canada 24 Germany 2
OECD Pacific^' 23 Korea 2
SouthAsia (incl. India) 23 Netherlands 2
OECD Europe 22 Sweden 2
SEAsia (South and East Asia) 16 Nigeria 2
North America 15 Other regions 26
Abbreviations: АШ, Africa, Latin America, and Middle East; CANZ, Canada, Australia, New Zealand; DC, Developing Countries; EEC, European Economic
Community; EEU, Eastern Europe; FSU, Former Soviet Union; OECD, Organization for Economic Development and Cooperation; Opacifie. Other Pacific
Asia; OPEC, Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries; SubSAfrica , Sub Saltaran Africa; USA, United States of Ameiica
a. Economies under transition, Former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe.
b. Central Planning Asia including China.
c. Eastern and Central Europe.
d. Africa, Latin America and the Middle East.
e. Japan, Australia, New Zealand.
f. OECD Europe and Canada.
g. South Pole and other regions with very small populations.
h. Asia including Japan and China
i. Developing World (less than US$(1985)]700/capita).
j. Non-OPEC Developing Countries.
k. Developed World (more than US$(1985)1700/capita).
2 As defined in UNFCCC, 1992.