Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

CONTENTS
1. Introduction and Background 23 9.1.1. Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Their
Driving Forces 36
2. Emissions Scenarios and Their Purposes 23 9.1.2. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from
Energy, Industry, and Land Use 36
3. Review of Past IPCC Emissions Scenarios 24 9.1.3. Scenario Groups and Four Categories
of Cumulative Emissions 39
4. SRES Writing Team, Approach, and Process 24 9.2. Other Greenhouse Gases 41
9.2.1. Methane Emissions 42
5. Scenario Literature Review and Analysis 25 9.2.2. Nitrous Oxide Emissions 42
9.2.3. Halocarbons and Halogenated
6. Narrative Scenarios and Storylines 27 Compounds 42
9.3. Sulfur Dioxide Emissions 43
7. Quantitative Scenarios and 9.4. Other Chemically Active Gases 44
Modeling Approaches 29 9.4.1. Nitrogen Oxides Emissions 44
9.4.2. Volatile Organic Compounds,
8. Main Scenario Driving Forces Based Excluding Methane 45
on Literature 31 9.4.3. Carbon Monoxide Emissions 45
8.1. Population Projections 31 9.5. Emissions Overview 45
8.2. Economic Development 32
8.3. Structural and Technological Change 33 10. Summary, Conclusions, and Recommendations 45
9. Greenhouse Gases and Sulfur Emissions 36 References 56
9.1. Carbon Dioxide Emissions 36