Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical
Table
497
Scenario Bl-AIM
OECDW
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population
Million
801 857 896 935 973 991 1008 1013 1018 1023 1029 10.ад
GNP/GDP (mex)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (199Û pnces)
Trillion USS
16.4 20.7 25.5 31.3 38.5 44 9 52.4 59.1 66.7 74.0 80.5 87.7
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Sohds
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 11 10 10 9 8 7 6 4 3 1 2
64 70 67 70 68 66 64 60 56 53 50 47
25 31 37 40 43 41 40 35 31 27 23 19
22 27 29 31 33 38 43 50 59 64 66
68
127 141 144 151 153 154 154 153 152 148 142 \Ы
Pnmary Energy
Coal
0Ü
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
41 34 37 38 38 36 33 26 21 17 14 И
76 88 85 81 69 56 46 39 33 29 28 26
34 51 58 61 63 62 62 54 47 40 34 28
5 7 8 8 7 8 8 8 7 6 5 5
6 1 0 4 9 14 20 23 26 28 28 29
Other Renewables
Total
6 6 7 9 13 17 22 32 48 60 65 70
167 187 195 201 199 192 192 182 181 180 174 170
Cumulative Resouices Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 04 08 1.1 1.5 1 8 2.5 27 30 3.1 3.3
0.1 0.9 1.8 2.6 3.4 39 4.5 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.2
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 28 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.3 5.7
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
2.8 33.0 64 8 96 5 127.3 156.7 184.3 209 3 230 8 249.1 264.6 277.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Eneigy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Million ha
381 380 378 376 374 370 366 361 357 354 353 352
760 765 772 779 787 809 832 862 893 912 918 924
0 0 0 10 23 32 44 45 46 45 41 39
1050 1059 1074 1094 1117 1133 1149 1154 1159 1167 1179 1192
838 826 805 770 728 682 639 605 574 551 536 522
3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029
Antlii opogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.24 3.27 3.16 2.96
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 -0.06 -0.12 -0.14 -0 11
Total C02 GtC 2.83 3 20 3.18 3.15 3.02 2.85
CH4 lotal MtCH4 73 74 71 69 66 60
N20 total MtN20-N 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4
SOx total MtS 22 7 17.0 10.4 7.8 7.5 7.2
HFC MtC eq. 19 58 108 103 109 112
PFC MtC eq. 18 13 12 10 8 7
SF6 MtC eq. 24 23 16 5 6 6
CO MtCO 179 161 172 183 200 205
NMVOC Mt 42 36 34 31 28 23
NOx MtN 13 12 11 10 9 7
2 77
-0 08
2.69
54
2.3
6.9
116
7
7
210
18
6
2 34
-0.03
2.31
50
2,2
6.2
117
7
7
209
11
6
1.97
001
1.98
46
2,2
5,5
117
7
8
209
5
5
1,68
0,00
1 68
43
2,1
4.9
119
7
8
209
1 45
-0.03
1.42
41
20
4.3
120
7
8
210
-1
4
1.25
-0 06
1 19
38
2.0
3.8
120
6
8
212
-3
4