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Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

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CONTENTS<br />

6.1. Introduction and Bacltground 295<br />

6.2. Scenario Driving Forces 299<br />

6.2.1. Population Projections 299<br />

6.2.2. Economic Development 300<br />

6.2.3. Structural and Technological Change 300<br />

6.2.3.1 Energy Systems 301<br />

6.2.3.2 Land-use Pattems 302<br />

6.3. Greenhouse Gases and Sulfur <strong>Emissions</strong> 304<br />

6.3.1. Carbon Dioxide <strong>Emissions</strong> 304<br />

6.3.1.1. <strong>Emissions</strong> from Energy,<br />

Industry and Land Use 304<br />

6.3.1.2. Four Categories of Cumulative<br />

<strong>Emissions</strong> 307<br />

6.3.2. Other Greenhouse Gases 308<br />

6.3.2.1. Methane <strong>Emissions</strong> 310<br />

6.3.2.2. Nitrous Oxide <strong>Emissions</strong> 310<br />

6.3.2.3. Halocarbons and Halogenated<br />

Compounds 311<br />

6.3.3. Sulfur Dioxide <strong>Emissions</strong> 311<br />

6.3.4. Nitrogen Oxides and Volatile Organic<br />

Compounds 313<br />

6.3.4.1. Nitrogen Oxides <strong>Emissions</strong> 313<br />

6.3.4.2. Volatile Organic Compounds,<br />

Excluding Methane 313<br />

6.3.4.3. Carbon Monoxide 314<br />

6.4. Summary and Conclusions 314<br />

References 319

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