Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

542
Statistical
Table
Scenario B2-AIM
OECD90
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population
Million
859 916 942 968 994 985 976 964 952 943 935 928
GNP/GDP (тех)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Trillion US$
16.4 21.1 24.5 28.3 32.8 35.3 37.9 41.0 44.3 48.0 52.1 56.7
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 12 12 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4
64 71 70 71 72 70 67 62 58 55 54 52
25 30 36 41 45 46 47 45 44 43 43 43
22 27 31 34 38 40 43 48 53 59 63 68
127 141 148 157 166 166 166 164 163 163 165 168
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
41 39 44 46 46 48 49 43 38 34 32 30
76 88 84 82 73 58 47 38 31 27 25 24
34 48 55 59 62 64 66 63 .60 58 58 57
5 7 8 11 13 12 11 11 12 13 14 15
6 1 0 1 6 11 23 27 33 37 40 44
Other Renewables
Total
6 6 7 8 10 12 14 20 29 37 42 49
167 189 198 206 210 204 208 202 202 206 212 219
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.8 2 2 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.6
0.1 0.9 1.8 2.6 3.4 3.9 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.1
0.0 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.6 5.2 5.8 6.4
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
2.8 33.0 65.4 98.7 132.1 164.8 196.8 226.5 252.7 275.9 297.2 317.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Outers
Total
Million ha
381 384 391 398 406 411 417 423 429 435 442 449
760 764 770 773 776 787 798 811 826 838 849 860
0 0 0 2 17 31 54 59 63 64 61 58
1050 1059 1069 1082 1095 1104 1113 1124 1136 1151 1171 1190
838 822 799 774 734 689 647 609 574 538 504 471
3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.32 3.41
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.05
Total C02 GtC 2.83 3.20 3.30 3.36
CH4 total MtCH4 73 74 71 67
N20 total MtN20-N 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
SOx total MtS 22.7 17.0 10.3 7.4
HFC MtC eq. 19 57 105 99
PFC MtC eq. 18 13 14 13
SF6 MtC eq. 24 23 25 23
CO MtCO 179 161 174 186
NMVOC Mt 42 36 34 32
NOx MtN 13 12 11 10
3.37
-0.06
3.31
64
2.6
7.2
102
12
17
203
29
3.27
-0.04
3.24
59
2.6
7.3
101
11
13
210
25
3.18
-0.02
3.16
54
2.6
7.4
102
10
13
216
21
2.81
-0.03
2.78
52
2.5
7.0
101
8
11
215
15
6
2.49
-0.05
2.45
51
2.5
6.6
100
7
10
214
10
5
2.28
-0.07
2,21
49
2.5
6.4
98
7
11
216
7
5
2.16
-0.11
2.05
48
2.5
6.2
98
7
10
221
2.04
-0.14
1.90
47
2.5
6.0
97
7
10
227
6
5