Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

368 Open Process
Table VI-4c: Standardized GHG emissions for the preliminary Bl marker (IMAGE) as posted on the CIESIN web page
(sres.ciesin.org) during the open process. These data are not necessarily identical with the final marker scenarios.
Preliminary Bl Marker Scenario - WORLD (Open process version, date of submission: 1017198)
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million 5297 7767 8933 7239
GNP/GDP in Trillion US$90* 21 48.21 113.94 338.29
GNP/GDP (US$/cap) 3965 6208 12755 46729
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial 49.34 34.04 15.74 9.65
Solids 35.76 24.07 24.7 35.2
Liquids 96.8 124.14 149.2 106.1
Gas 45.06 76.35 123.7 174.5
Electricity 39.76 106.28 '233.2 425.6
Others
Total 266.7 364.9 546.5 751.1
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal 93.71 68.26 87 62.1
Oil (excluding feedstocks) 115.9 157.1 187.1 62.2
Gas (excluding feedstocks) 70.27 145.06 157.4 127
Non-Fossil Electricity (Nuclear/Solar) 8.56 43.85 144 413.4
Biomass 1.98 13.62 76.3 118.2
Other Renewables (Hydro/Fuelwood) 57.26 46.75 37.3 44.3
Total 347.7 474.6 689.1 827.2
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal 5.55 7.83 10.06 14.94
Oil 2.8 6.75 11.85 18.27
Gas J.65 4.73 9.25 16.45
Cumulative CO, Emissions in GtC 100 296 537 947
Carbon Sequestration in GtC 2.0 3.7 3.3 2.9
Land Use in Million ha
Cropland 1436.3 1268.5 1362.4 1119.1
Grasslands 3435.6 3934.8 3428.1 1914.8
Energy Biomass 6.4 32.8 201.9 373.4
Forest 4277.0 4095.0 4207.7 5075.5
Others 3915.7 3739.9 3870.8 4588.2
Total 13071.0 13071.0 13071.0 13071.0
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)
CO2 (as C) in GtC 6.1 7.5 9 5.7
Other CO2 (as C) in GtC 0.9 1.9 0.9 1.4
Total CO2 (as C) in GtC 7.0 9.4 9.9 7.1
CH4 total (as CH4) in Mt CH4 429 495 543 478
N2O total (as N) in Mt N2O-N 10.5 12.4 13.2 12.3
SO^ total (as S) in MtS 70.6 42.7 41.8 25.6
CO (as CO) in Mt CO 865 1098 1055 1063
VOCs in Mt 77 94 93 97
N0^ (as N) in MtN 27.5 32.9 42.5 27.2
'• at market exchange rate