Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

430 Statistical Table
Scenario AIG-AIM
ALM
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 1192 1519 1865 2211 2557 2761 2980 3024 3067 3013 2866 2727
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.9 2.7 5.3 10.3 19.8 32.3 52.8 70.4 93.9 118.6 141.7 169.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 14 19 18 20 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids I 2 3 6 9 10 12 11 10 8 7 6
Liquids 17 22 39 60 93 131 169 198 227 244 251 258
Gas 4 9 18 33 49 73 96 114 132 142 145 147
Electricity 4 6 12 21 39 75 111 144 178 199 208 216
Others 0 0 0 0
Total 40 57 90 140 211 299 388 467 546 594 611 628
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 5 8 16 27 44 47 50 48 46 44 42 40
Oil 27 35 62 94 142 187 247 252 257 260 261 262
Gas 9 18 38 68 108 158 231 273 323 356 363 371
Nuclear 0 0 1 3 8 19 44 54 65 74 78 82
Biomass 14 18 19 20 26 32 40 67 112 148 152 157
Other Renewables 2 2 3 4 7 12 22 35 57 76 83 92
Total 57 82 138 217 334 455 634 729 861 957 980 1004
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.5 1.7
Oil 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.3 6.7 8.7 11.4 14.1 16.6 6.7
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1 8 3.1 5.2 7.4 10.5 13.9 17.3 12.5
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.4 17.8 43.4 84.7 140.2 209.2 295.8 395.3 -501.0 611.7 724.5 837.9
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 357 391 427 451 446 417 390 357 327 298 271 246
Grasslands 1636 1648 1776 2032 2287 2275 2264 2171 2081 2019 1981 1944
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 0 33 77 180 269 402 501 520 539
Forest 1706 1604 1474 1313 1230 1249 1269 1285 1302 1315 1327 1338
Others 1784 1840 1806 1687 1487 1433 1380 1361 1341 1348 1382 1416
Total 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483 5483
Antlu-opogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 0.72 1.01 2.15 3.61 5.64 7.40 9.70 10.29 10.92 11.26 11.30 11.35
Other C02 GtC 0.73 0.82 1.14 1.37 0.47 0.28 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.04
Total C02 GtC 1.45 1.83 3.29 4.98 6.11 7.68 9.65 10.25 10.89 11.25 11.31 11.39
CH4 total MtCH4 77 85 106 134 155 157 160 148 136 122 107 93
N20 total MtN20-N 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4
SOx total MtS 10.5 12.8 20.3 25.7 28.7 35.7 44.2 28.0 17.8 13.7 12.8 12.0
HFC MtC eq. 0 2 15 39 81 139 184 205 210 210 206 196
PFC MtC eq. 4 4 5 9 14 19 23 26 28 30 31 30
SF6 MtC eq. 3 5 10 14 19 32 40 42 37 23 24 26
CO MtCO 396 404 522 640 649 745 857 971 1101 1227 1344 1472
NMVOC Mt 48 55 75 99 121 125 130 132 134 125 106 89
NOx MtN 7 8 12 17 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 21