Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical
Table
509
Marker Scenario Bl-IMAGE
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2781 3246 3609 3929 4142 4235 4220 4088 3871 3594 3262 2886
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion USS 1.4 2.7 4.8 8.7 15.1 24.9 37.9 51.4 64.8 78.7 91.7 103.1
1990 US$/cap " 502.0 836.8 1336.1 2206.5 3651.1 5885.3 8980.9 12579.4 16732.0 21889.1 28118.6 35726.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 29 31 30 24 19 14 9 S 6 5 5 4
Solids 20 23 23 23 23 22 20 17 14 12 10 8
Liquids 12 22 29 34 38 39 35 30 26 24 21 19
Gas 2 6 13 17 19 20 22 23 23 23 21 20
Electricity 4 9 19 36 56 80 93 95 93 88 84 77
Others 0 1 3 9 16 23 27 28 26 24 21 18
Total 68 92 117 144 171 198 205 200 189 175 162 144
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 28 41 51 58 67 74 64 48 35 24 17 11
Oil 16 27 39 51 63 61 56 49 40 33 27 21
Gas 4 11 25 42 56 63 59 52 45 38 31 25
Non-Fossil Electric 0 ! 5 11 24 40 52 60 65 68 67
Biomass 0 1 3 11 23 34 40 38 37 31 26 22
Other Renewables 30 33 32 27 23 18 13 12 11 10 9 8
Total 79 113 153 195 244 273 272 251 227 200 178 1.54
Cumulative Resources Production ZJ ^
Coal 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.9
Oil 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3
Gas 0.0 O.I 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.6
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 43.6 74.7 111.6 152.8 193.4 228.9 258.2 281.7 299.6 311.7
Carbon Sequestration ' GtC 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.2 0.4
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland