Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

544
Statistical
Table
Scenario В2-АШ
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2798 3248 3603 3958 4312 4500 4696 4768 4842 4897 4932 4968
GNP/GDP (mex) Trillion US$ 1.5 3.5 6.5 12.1 22.7 31.8 44.5 54.4 66.4 78.3 89.2 101.6
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 28 18 17 14 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 15 23 33 44 54 59 65 63 60 58 56 54
Liquids 11 17 27 37 51 62 74 76 79 81 82 83
Gas 2 4 8 17 31 41 55 62 71 79 85 91
Electricity 5 8 15 25 40 54 75 94 118 140 157 176
Others
Total 61 69 100 137 184 222 268 298 330 358 381 404
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 30 44 69 98 125 142 161 L57 154 151 147 144
Oil 17 26 41 53 63 61 59 48 39 33 29 25
Gas 4 8 17 33 56 76 103 115 '128 138 145 153
Nuclear 0 1 2 4 9 14 20 24 29 33 37 41
Biomass 28 24 19 15 11 17 27 33 39 45 48 53
Other Renewables 1 2 2 3 6 10 18 31 56 82 99 120
Total 80 104 150 206 269 319 388 408 444 481 506 536
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.9 4.1 5.8 7.1 8.7 10.3 11.8 13.4
Oil 0,0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.7
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.4 4.6 6.0 7.4 9.0
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1,5 19.3 45.1 80.6 127.3 185.2 253.4 327.3 401.4 475.5 549.2 622.4
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 438 439 448 457 466 475 484 494 503 514 524 535
Grasslands 608 607 611 615 618 623 627 631 636 640 644 647
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 3 21 37 65 70 76 77 73 69
Forest 535 525 518 533 548 553 558 563 567 .571 575 580
Others 583 593 587 557 512 469 430 405 381 362 347 333
Total 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164 2164
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1,15 1.78 2.82 4.00 5.26 6.13 7.13 7.15 7.17 7.15 7.09 7.03
Other C02 GtC 0.37 0.26 0.29 0.01 0.06 0.13 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26
Total C02 GtC 1.53 2.03 3.11 4.00 5.33 6.26 7.38 7.40 7.42 7.40 7.35 7.29
CH4 total MtCH4 113 125 148 176 209 224 240 241 243 239 230 221
N20 total MtN20-N 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.7 2,9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4
SOx total MtS 17.7 25.3 40.1 44.9 36.2 19.0 9.8 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.6 10.8
HFC MtC eq, 0 5 21 40 66 95 130 164 199 233 267 302
PFC MtC eq. 3 5 14 22 30 38 46 51 54 54 53 51
SF6 MtC eq. 4 7 12 18 25 32 36 36 33 27 29 30
CO MtCO 235 270 332 356 412 455 503 521 538 563 594 627
NMVOC Mt 33 37 50 66 72 77 83 78 74 69 62 56
NOx MtN 7 9 12 15 18 18 19 17 16 15 14 14