Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table 559
Scenario B2-MARIA
ASIA
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 2642 3062 3450 3796 4089 4316 4479 4613 4720 4813 4851 4888
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.2 2.9 6.3 13.0 19.9 28.1 37.8 46.9 57.0 67.2 77.1 87.9
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
Non-commercial
EJ
Solids 20 20 31 43 51 68 79 93 102 111 96 67
Liquids 26 39 66 93 109 125 139 148 146 148 162 176
Gas 2 2 4 7 15 15 14 15 23 27 38 64
Electricity 4 8 12 18 24 27 35 37 43 47 49 48
Others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 52 70 113 160 198 236 266 293 314 333 345 355
Primaiy Energy
EJ
Coal 28 26 36 46 54 70 80 94 102 111 96 67
Oil 14 23 38 57 54 58 69 72 52 43 42 65
Gas 3 5 8 14 21 29 23 22 27 30 40 65
Nuclear 1 5 14 11 9 21 35 49 76 94 105 81
Biomass 13 22 33 53 85 89 85 86 101 110 124 128
Other Renewables 1 1 1 1 1 1 17 20 20 20 20 19
Total 61 82 130 181 222 266 309 343 379 408 426 427
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.3 5.3 6.5 7.4
Oil 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.4 4.8 5.2
Gas 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.5 19.3 42.5 72.1 106.3 144.9 188.4 235.8 284.6 333.2 380.8 427.5
Carbon Sequestration GtC 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 366 366 373 380 380 380 380 380 380 380 361 343
Grasslands 431 431 428 425 426 426 426 426 426 426 426 426
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 37
Forest 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365
Others 458 458 455 451 449 449 449 449 449 449 449 449
Total 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621 1621
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
1.15 1.78 2.36 3.07 3.33 3.94 4.34 4.75 4.66 4.76 4.50 4.61
0.37 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.11
1.53 2.03 2.61 3.31 3.55 4.15 4.55 4.94 4.82 4.90 4.62 4.72
0 5 21 40 66 95 130 164 199 233 267 302
3 5 14 22 30 38 46 51 54 54 53 51
4 7 12 18 25 32 36 36 33 27 29 30