Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table 467
Scenario A2-AIM 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
OECD90
Populalion
Million
859 914 966 1018 1071 nil
1152 1218 1288 1357 1425 ¡496
GNP/GDP (mex)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Trillion US$
15.3 18.6 21.9 25.5 29.7 34.2
39.4 45.8 53.2 62.3 73.4 86.6
Final Energy
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
EJ
6 2 1 0 0 0
10 14 16 18 20 21
64 69 72 82 88 87
25 31 38 44 49 51
22 27 32 37 44 50
127 142 158 181 201 209
0 0 0 0 0 0
21 22 23 23 24 25
87 88 89 95 106 118
52 52 51 53 57 61
57 66 76 88 102 118
217 228 240 259 289 322
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
41 46 60 70 80 86
76 83 84 84 74 61
34 46 54 62 70 72
5 7 8 9 9 11
6 1 0 6 15 20
92 106 122 147 187 238
50 36 26 19 13 9
75 73 71 73 79 85
14 18 22 28 35 45
27 31 35 37 38 39
Other Renewables
Total
6 6 7 8 10 12
167 189 211 238 257 262
13 18 23 28 31 34
272 281 299 331 383 450
Cumulative Resources Use
Coal
Oil
Gas
ZJ
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.1
0.1 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.9
0.0 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.8
4.1 5.1 6.2 7.6 9.4 11.5
4.6 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.9
3.6 4.3 5.0 5.8 6.5 7.4
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
2.8 33.0 66.7 104.0 144.7 188.0
233.4 280.7 329.4 381.3 439.7 507.3
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
381 384 391 398 405 413
760 765 775 786 797 813
0 0 0 17 37 48
1050 1062 1080 1109 1137 1137
838 818 783 720 652 617
3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029
422 432 442 453 465 477
830 841 853 860 864 867
59 61 62 60 56 51
11.36 1136 1135 1133 1131 1128
582 560 537 522 513 504
3029 3029 3029 3029 3029 3029
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02
GtC
Other C02
GtC
Total C02
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N20 total
MtN20-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
2.83 3.20 3.62 4.08 4.41 4.48
0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.18 -0.(8 -0.04
2.83 3.20 3.55 3.90 4.23 4.44
73 74 74 74 75 69
2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.8
22.7 17.0 11.1 8.6 9.2 9.6
19 57 107 103 m 116
18 13 14 14 14 14
23 23 25 28 29 29
179 161 189 216 251 265
42 36 37 38 39 35
13 12 12 12 12 10
4.55 4.70 4.86 5..32 6.17 7.15
0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10
4.65 4.80 4.95 5.42 6.27 7,26
64 66 67 70 73 76
2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.2
10.1 ll.O 12.0 13.7 16.1 19.0
125 130 135 142 151 160
14 13 11 13 15 17
28 26 20 12 14 16
280 294 307 331 365 404
32 26 21 20 22 24
9 9 10 10 1] 13