Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table 553
Scenario B2-IMAGE
REF
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population
Million
413
432
435 407
GNP/GDP (mex)
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Trillion US$
1.0
2.1
3.5 5.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
2
11
18
12
7
50
1
4
15
9
13
41
0 0
3 3
10 7
9 9
14 13
36 31
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
EJ
26
26
21
16
21
19
13 6
13 8
16 13
Biotnass
0
0
3 3
Non-commercial
2
1
0 0
NTE (NucleatySolar) & Hydro
2
5
8 10
Total
78
63
53 40
Cumulative Resources Use
ZJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.6
0.5
1.1 1.6
1.0 1.5
1.1 2.0
Cumulative C02 Emissions
GtC
1.3 12.3 20.4 26.2 .30.6 34.1
36.8 38.9 40.7 42.3 43.6 44.6
Carbon Sequestration
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.68 0.46 0.34 0.23 0.12 0.06 -0.01 -0.07 -0.13 -0.20
Other C02 GtC 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.18 0.21 0.25 0.29
Total C02 GtC 1.30 0.91 0.69 0.48 0.39 0.31 0.22 0.20 0.17 0.14 0.12 0.09
CH4 total MtCH4 47 39 45 50 48 45 42 41 39 38 36 34
N20 total MtN20-N 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
SOx total MtS 17.0 11.0 5.0 3.6 2.7 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
HFC MtC eq. 0 4 9 15 21 25 25 26 26 26 27 27
PFC MtC eq. 7 4 8 10 14 19 25 28 30 30 28 27
SF6 MtC eq. 7 6 5 7 9 12 15 16 15 14 14 14
CO MtCO 69 41 26 10 8 6 3 2 1 -1 „2 -3
NMVOC Mt 16 13 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8
NOx MtN 5 3 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 0