Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

374 Open Process
Preliminary B2 Marker Scenario - OECD90 (Open process version, date of submission: 1112198)
1990 2020 2050 2100
Population in Million 859 982 976 928
GNP/GDP (тех) in Trillion US$90 16.4 30.3 38.3 56.6
GNP/GDP (ppp) in Trillion (1990 prices) •> 14.1 26.3 33.5 50.4
Final Energy by Fuel in EJ
Non-commercial 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Solids 13.1 3.2 0.2 0.0
Liquids 65.9 86.4 76.0 57.5
Gas 22.4 24.8 35.4 17.3
Electricity 21.5 43.7 60.5 89.1
Other (e.g. H,) 0.7 3.7 10.3 17.9
Total 123.6 161.8 182.4 181.8
Primary Energy by Fuel
Coal 38.0 38.9 18.9 46.8
Oil 72.1 90.4 65.0 16.7
Gas 32.9 60.6 92.7 127.9
Nuclear 5.9 10.8 16.5 29.3
Biomass 5.6 7.2 10.3 43.3
Other Renewables 4.2 11.2 24.7 40.8
Synfuel Trade 0 0 8.2 -30.7
Total 158.7 219.1 236.3 274.1
Cumulative Resource Use in ZJ
Coal 0.0 1.1 2.0 3.3
Oil 0.0 2.6 5.2 7.3
Gas 0.0 1.3 3.4 9.2
Cumulative CO2 Emissions in GtC C) ^ 0.0 98.6 209.4 371.2
Land Use in Million ha
Forests 1056.3 1107.3 1181.0 1290.3
Grasslands 787.2 775.9 793.0 753.4
Cropland 410.2 377.3 324.0 238.3
Energy Biomass 0.0 0.0 100.0 150.3
Other 886.2 879.5 742.0 707.6
Total 3140.0 3140.0 3140.0 3140.0
Anthropogenic Emissions (not standardized)''
CO2 (as in GtC 3.1 3.8 3.3 3.2
Other CO2 (as C)^ in GtC 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
Total CO2 (as C) in GtC 3.0 3.7 3.3 3.1
CH4 total (as CH4) in Mt CH^ 68.9 62.7 59.0 62.0
NjO total (as N) in Mt N2O-N 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.3
SO^ total (as S) in MtS 26.2 9.3 5.7 3.5
CO (as CO) in Mt CO 192.1 211.6 221.4 231.7
VOCs in Mt 46.6 49.6 52.5 39.5
N0^ (as N) in MtN 13.2 16.5 16.1 12.0
" тех = market exchange rate; ppp= purchasing power parity
COj emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data).
Land-use data taken from AIM B2 emulation run.