Emissions Scenarios - IPCC

Statistical Table 545
Scenario B2-AIM
ALM
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Population Million 1192 1511 1891 2270 2649 2952 3289 3502 3729 3904 4020 4139
GNP/GDP (тех) Trillion US$ 1.9 2.7 4.1 6.0 8.6 13.9 22.3 29.7 39.6 48.9 56.2 64.4
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial 14 17 18 16 18 15 13 0 0 0 0 0
Solids 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 8
Liquids 17 20 25 29 36 49 66 75 86 95 100 106
Gas 4 7 12 17 22 30 42 49 56 62 65 68
Electiicity 4 6 8 10 14 23 36 49 65 81 91 103
Others
Total 40 52 66 77 96 126 166 191 221 246 265 285
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal 5 7 11 17 24 34 48 52 57 59 58 58
Oil 27 32 37 39 43 50 59 61 63 61 55 49
Gas 9 15 23 31 37 49 64 76 89 97 100 103
Nuclear 0 0 0 1 2 4 9 12 15 19 21 24
Biomass 14 18 19 22 35 47 63 76 91 104 112 122
Other Renewables 2 3 3 5 7 11 19 33 49 59 72
Total 57 75 94 113 145 191 254 295 348 388 406 428
Cumulaüve Resources Use
ZJ
Coal 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.3 1.7
Oil 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.7 4.3 4.8 6.7
Gas 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.3 5.3 12.5
Cumulative C02 Emissions GtC 1.4 17.8 37.0 58.2 80.9 106.7 138.5 175.0 214.2 255.6 297.1 337.9
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland 371 389 397 405 413 421 429 437 446 455 464 474
Grasslands 1680 1676 1689 1699 1709 1725 1741 1754 1766 1777 1787 1797
Energy Biomass 0 0 0 7 48 85 151 163 176 179 170 161
Forest 1745 1717 1699 1692 1701 1721 1740 1752 (765 1777 1790 1803
Others 1684 1698 1695 1676 1608 1510 1419 1371 1325 1291 1268 1246
Total 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480 5480
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel C02 GtC 0.72 1.01 1.36 1.76 2.14 2.73 3.48 3.73 3.99 4.U 4.07 4.04
Other C02 GtC 0.73 0.82 0.65 0.46 0.18 0.12 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.04 0.00
Total C02 GtC 1.45 1.83 2.01 2.22 2.32 2.84 3.52 3.78 4.07 4.20 4.12 4.04
CH4 total MtCH4 77 85 93 100 108 123 139 147 156 162 165 168
N20 total MtN20-N 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5
SOx total MlS 10.5 12.8 13.2 12.6 16.4 19.2 22.4 16.6 12.3 10.7 11.0 11.3
HFC MtC eq. 0 2 12 20 32 54 84 120 157 190 211 223
PFC MtC eq. 4 4 7 10 14 20 27 33 37 39 39 37
SF6 MtC eq. 3 5 5 7 9 20 16 17 15 11 13 14
CO MtCO 396 404 408 359 345 376 413 439 468 501 536 576
NMVOC Mt 48 55 64 69 72 77 81 77 73 68 64 60
NOx MtN 7 8 9 9 10 12 14 15 16 16 15 15